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Take horse race polls on the presidential election and, as the philosopher David Hume recommended for works of superstition, consign them to the flames.

The 2024 presidential election is considered extremely tight and much like the 2020 election will be decided by less than 100,000 votes in a small handful of states – if polling is any indication of the state of the election.

Before Biden stepped out of the race, there was a widely held conventional wisdom that while third-party candidates, like Kennedy, had virtually no chance of winning the election, they could influence a close race between Biden and Trump.

Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspended his campaign Friday, citing "media censorship," a “sham Democratic primary," and “continued legal warfare” the DNC has waged on him to keep him off the ballot.

These elections are important as they will, in many cases, decide the ultimate winner of the elections held because of state and district demographics and how electoral districts have been drawn to favor the majority party.

In this sense, the only thing shocking about his appearance was that people were shocked.

This year’s Democratic Party presidential primary was a choreographed affair dubbed “Operation Bubble Wrap.” The rules were manipulated by party insiders to ensure Joe Biden would face no scrutiny and no competition. The idea that he should stay in the race because he “won the primary” is absurd. There was no primary. By design.

For the first time in decades, an independent presidential candidate has caught up to one of the two establishment parties in a statewide poll.

Imagine it’s election night 2024. A few close swing states will decide the presidency – and test the health of our democracy. In that scenario, we can be certain of two facts: Neither Joe Biden nor Donald Trump will win a majority of the vote, and votes for independent and third-party candidates will dwarf the final margin.

An initiative that would ensure equal voting rights for 270,000 independent voters in Idaho is all but certain to qualify for the November ballot. The Idahoans for Open Primaries coalition exceeded 90,000 signatures for its "Final Four" elections initiative days before the May 1 deadline.