Skip to content
Subscribe

Top Dark Horse Candidates for a Brokered Convention

Published:
Republican National Convention

The Republican primary race stretches on. None of the current candidates appear willing to drop out. At the same time, none of the candidates appear on track to accrue the 1,144 delegates needed to secure the party's nomination prior to the Republican National Convention in June.

That leaves us on track for a contested and/or brokered convention. It's a politico's dream scenario and would be the first such event since 1952. Recall the television networks complaining during past election cycles about covering "boring" party conventions? The networks would fall over themselves to cover a brokered convention. Wolf Blitzer's head would explode.

With a real convention dynamic, deals would actually have to be made, party platform debated, and best of all, the entire process wouldn't be a long partisan infomercial.

Many people, especially Republicans and especially Mitt Romney & Co., hate the idea of a brokered convention. That's because there is a remote possibility someone not currently running could emerge as the party's nominee. Such a candidate would face challenges, like fundraising, last-minute organizing and name recognition. But the question is: could they beat President Obama?

Here's some of the names being considered:

Mitch Daniels

Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels is one of the most frequently mentioned players in a hypothetical Compromise Candidate scenario. While his response to the President's State of the Union in January was underwhelming to some, he is a well-liked, well-respected conservative leader. In the past he served under George W. Bush as Director of the Office of Management and Budget, as well as CEO of the Hudson Institute, a conservative think tank. He also has experience as a Senior Vice President for pharmaceutical company Eli Lilly.

He was once a prime potential presidential candidate for the GOP. He appeals to many different types of Republicans and could be just the candidate to unite a splintered party. In March 2011, he won an Oregon straw poll ahead of potential Republican rivals Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin. However, he ultimately declined to run citing "family constraints".

His calm demeanor could pose a problem for garnering enthusiasm should he become the candidate. He was also a member of the Bush administration and that fact could be an easy target for the Obama campaign.

Jeb Bush

Also on many Republican's minds, is former Florida governor Jeb Bush. Before dismissing him due to his last name, consider the following: he's a popular governor from battleground Florida; he's more moderate than President Bush 43; he speaks Spanish and his wife is Latina. These are all big deals, as Hispanics will make up more of the electorate in the fall than in any year before. Jeb Bush has a chance of capturing this segment of voters away from Obama, unlike any of the current candidates in the field.

Jeb Bush has repeatedly said he will not jump into the race. Still, people speculate that he would reconsider in a brokered convention situation. Then again, his last name. Too soon? Many probably say yes.

Marco Rubio

Fellow Floridian Senator Marco Rubio is a young star in the Republican Party. His candidacy would bring many of the same benefits that Jeb Bush offers: he's well-liked and his Cuban background appeals to Hispanic voters. He also gets Tea Party support. Some say a Bush/Rubio ticket would be ideal, but Rubio has rejected a potential vice-president candidacy.

However, if you look at the statements he's made about the 2012 elections, he's only specifically said he's not interested in running as VP, which leaves the door just slightly open for him as a draft nominee.

Chris Christie

There's no one included on Compromise Candidate lists who has emphatically denied and denounced the chance of him running more than Chris Christie. The press conferences have been plenty but the New Jersey Governor has repeatedly said NO.

Still, Gov. Christie could pull down sizable amounts of Democratic votes, not unlike Dr. Ron Paul. He would easily gain support from Romney and Gingrich delegates, arguably from Paul's as well. Only Santorum supporters would be leery given Christie's lack of hard-line social policies.

Gov. Christie is from New Jersey, the state most loathed by Americans as a whole and a state he's unlikely to win against Obama. Losing your home state in a presidential race is a no-no. He can be polarizing, both his outspokenness and stature could turn people off.

Paul Ryan

Clearly, the Wisconsin congressman is a future candidate, barring any controversies, for 2016 and beyond. But could the desperation of an unsatisfied party base thrust him onto the national election stage this summer?

He's young and as the chairman of the House Budget Committee, he's made headlines for his federal budget proposals. He will likely be in the spotlight towards summer, just when the Convention kicks off.

Historically, congressmen don't win the White House. His home state also leans blue in presidential years, so there's a chance he wouldn't even carry his own state.

Sarah Palin

Only in her dreams.

--

Are these figures potential candidates in your opinion? Do you have your own names in mind?

Adhere to the IVN etiquette

By posting a comment, you agree to adhere to our etiquette rules: No partisan attacks, no personal attacks, substantiate your sources, no self-promotion.

Contact IVN

Questions about this article or our coverage? Send us a message. A free IVN member account is required.

Message sent

Thanks, we’ll review it and get back to you if needed.

Message not sent

Sorry, something went wrong. Please try again.

Sign in to send a message

Messages are tied to your IVN member account. Signing in is free and takes a few seconds.

Contact IVN

Questions about this article or our coverage? Send us a message. A free IVN member account is required.

Message sent

Thanks, we’ll review it and get back to you if needed.

Message not sent

Sorry, something went wrong. Please try again.

Sign in to send a message

Messages are tied to your IVN member account. Signing in is free and takes a few seconds.

Republish this article

Republishing guidelines

Republish IVN articles for free. Independent Voter News articles may be republished online or in print under a Creative Commons BY-NC-ND 4.0 license, on these terms:

  1. Credit the author and IVN. Keep the byline ("By Author Name, Independent Voter News") and the attribution note at the end, which links to the original.
  2. Keep the meaning. You may update time and place references and apply your house style. You may trim for length, as long as the cuts don't change the meaning or misrepresent the author. Keep the headline. Mark any additions as your own (for example "Additional reporting by ...").
  3. Translations are welcome. Translate faithfully, add "Translated from English by [your outlet]", and tell us at editor@ivn.us.
  4. Keep the links, including the link to the original article.
  5. Keep the tracking image. The HTML includes a 1-pixel image that counts readers on your page. It collects no personal information.
  6. Photos and illustrations. Images credited to IVN may be used with this article only. Images credited to others (AP, Getty, Unsplash, Wikimedia and so on) stay under their owners' terms. Secure the rights or switch "Include images" off.
  7. Don't sell it. You can't sell our articles or sell ads specifically against them. Your normal site advertising is fine.
  8. No implied endorsement. Don't suggest that IVN or the author endorses you, your candidates or your causes, or that donations to you support IVN.
  9. Keep labels. Opinion or analysis pieces keep that label.
  10. Point search engines to the original. Where your CMS allows, set the canonical URL to the original IVN article.
  11. No bulk or automated republishing, and don't submit our articles to aggregators (Apple News, Google News, MSN) as your own.
  12. Corrections and removals. Update your copy when we correct it, and remove it promptly if we ask. We'll contact you at the email you give us.
  13. Questions or print republication: editor@ivn.us.

IVN staff: fill in who you're inviting above, then create the invite.

Preparing the article

Top Dark Horse Candidates for a Brokered Convention

Choose a format
  • HTML
  • Email HTML
  • Markdown
  • Formatted (.docx)
  • Plain text
  • WordPress blocks
  • PDF
Choose a platform

Photos credited to others need their owners' permission.

To for

Republishing somewhere else? Questions? editor@ivn.us