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Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump Shatter Moody's Crystal Ball for 2016
When it comes to predicting elections, Moody's Analytics comes about as close to the seers of the crystal ball as we can get. Accurately predicting every election since 1980, with a perfect scorecard in 2012 (including all electoral votes), the Moody's model is pretty hard to beat.
The Moody's model relies heavily on economic data, including real income, real housing, and gasoline prices, as well as political data on a state-by-state basis.
As of August 27, Moody's has the Democrats winning 32
04 Sep, 2015
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2 min read
IVN EXCLUSIVE: Independent POTUS Candidate Touts 7-Step Plan to Make Government Voter Centric
Dr. Lynn Kahn describes herself as a sort of government mechanic. Her experience stems from her undergraduate work in psychology and her doctoral work in group dynamics of peacemaking.
“Early on, I focused on group dynamics. The psychology work in group dynamics and organizational change just kind of built on each other," Dr. Kahn said in an interview for IVN.
Immediately after her doctoral work, she started her career in government as an organizational consultant with a specialty in group dyn
01 Sep, 2015
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5 min read
CNN Snubs Only Woman in GOP Field Despite High Poll Numbers
There was general consensus among the public that Carly Fiorina won the first GOP "happy hour" debate and the poll numbers showed it. Now, even with high poll numbers, Fiorina is at risk of being relegated to CNN's undercard debate in September.
"Despite being solidly in the top 10 by every measure, the political establishment is still rigging the game to keep Carly off the main debate stage next month," Fiorina's deputy campaign manager, Sarah Isgur Flores writes.
According to Fiorina campaig
28 Aug, 2015
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3 min read
Who Bucked the Party Line In The Republican Primary Debates?
The first question in the GOP primetime debate was a revealing one. When asked whether the candidates would pledge to support the eventual nominee, only one of the ten candidates on stage raised his hand to signal he would not: Donald Trump.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h-oi2Z2g0e4
Moderator Bret Baier tried several times to elicit a response of partisan loyalty: he reminded him he was on a "Republican primary debate stage" and suggested that "an independent run would almost certainly hand
07 Aug, 2015
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6 min read
OPINION: We Don't Want Kids Using Cannabis Oil, But We Will Give Them Meth
My heart rate suddenly increased, the casual conversation with my uncle had just crossed the line into politics. Not knowing exactly how I got here but deeply aware of one startling fact; I just breeched the topic of medical marijuana with a religious conservative.
Shaking his head, my uncle expressed his grievances over the recently passed medical marijuana bill in the Pennsylvania Senate. He had an impressive grasp on the cannabis jargon, citing low-level THC strains, edibles, cannabinoids an
07 Aug, 2015
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2 min read
Questions Remain in Alleged Kansas Vote Tampering Case
On July 20, IVN reported on Dr. Beth Clarkson's work, alleging voting machine tampering in three states.
Interest in this case has definitely grown, with more news sites and groups taking up the story and calling for the Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach to audit the election results.
I had the opportunity to talk to Dr. Clarkson by telephone this past week, to discuss her thoughts and ultimate goals of this case, and I was truly amazed by both the complexity and the amount of evidence tha
06 Aug, 2015
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5 min read
Crowded GOP Field to Take the Stage at Republican Primary Debate
The first round of the Republican primary debates will be held Thursday night at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. The field of Republican presidential candidates stands at 17, but only 10 will be included in the primetime debate at 9pm ET, while the other seven will compete in an undercard debate at 5pm ET.
The 10 candidates who will appear at the prime-time debate are:
Donald Trump, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, retired n
05 Aug, 2015
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2 min read
Report: 2014 Voting Machine Tampering Likely in Wisconsin, Ohio, and Kansas
Wichita State University engineering professor and statistician Beth Clarkson has accused three states -- Wisconsin, Ohio, & Kansas -- of voting irregularities that indicate a tampering of electronic voting machines. In her recently published journal article, she reviews the statistical anomalies in the three states -- including laying out her entire mathematical methodology, inviting others to replicate the study.
Clarkson has filed suit trying to gain full access to the ballots for an indepen
20 Jul, 2015
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3 min read
Report: Ohio Republicans Spend over Half a Million to Keep Libertarian Off Ballot
The Columbus Dispatch reported Sunday that the Republican Party of Ohio spent nearly $600,000 to disqualify Libertarian candidate Charlie Earl from the 2014 governor's race.
The GOP previously disclosed that they spent nearly $300,000 to disqualify Earl, but by March the bill nearly doubled to $592,000.
The article states:
"The party paid Zeiger, Tigges & Little, a firm hired by a Republican consultant Terry Casey, who spearheaded the challenge.Casey says he acted on his own.The party says Ca
14 Jul, 2015
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1 min read
Moving Toward Federalism: The Louisiana Purchase and the 2016 Election
With the Looking to the Founders series running its natural course, it seemed appropriate to move to the next stage of American History. Not that there was a lack of material, but a realization that the 2016 presidential election is going to be an all out brawl over the concept of federalism.
Looking at the origins of federalism can help us understand many of the problems we still have today, and sometimes, just sometimes, we might actually find some common ground when we have an honest introsp
14 Jul, 2015
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7 min read
