Betting on Democracy: Prediction Markets, Polls, and the Independent Voter Uprising
In this episode of the Independent Voter Podcast, Chad and Cara dive into the exploding world of political prediction markets with special guest Chris Gerlacher of Prediction News—unpacking how platforms like Kalshi and crypto-based markets are reshaping how insiders gauge races from California gove
"Prediction markets react in real time, and they can show you an edge long before the polls do.” — Chris Gerlacher
In this episode of the Independent Voter Podcast, Chad and Cara dive into the exploding world of political prediction markets with special guest Chris Gerlacher of Prediction News—unpacking how platforms like Kalshi and crypto-based markets are reshaping how insiders gauge races from California governor to New York City mayor. Chad and Cara also highlight Shawn Griffiths’ latest election reform roundup at ivn.us, covering new signature drives in Oregon, Nevada, and Oklahoma to end taxpayer-funded closed primaries and expand rights for independent voters, as well as the gritty reality of signature gathering and ballot access. Plus, Cara breaks down a Politico gerrymandering poll that ignores independent voters and shares how unlikely allies—from Democrats to MAGA Republicans—can find common ground on fixing the system, even in a hyper-polarized era.
By posting a comment, you agree to adhere to our
etiquette rules: No partisan attacks, no personal attacks, substantiate your sources, no self-promotion.
Contact IVN
Questions about this article or our coverage? Send us a message. A free IVN member account is required.
Message sent
Thanks, we’ll review it and get back to you if needed.
Message not sent
Sorry, something went wrong. Please try again.
Sign in to send a message
Messages are tied to your IVN member account. Signing in is free and takes a few seconds.
This episode of the Independent Voter Podcast dives into the chaos surrounding the Maine Senate race after Graham Platner's withdrawal amid allegations and vetting failures.
Chad Peace joins Dr. David D. Schein’s Saving America to explain how closed primaries, safe seats, and party-controlled elections leave millions of voters on the sidelines before November ever arrives and the nonpartisan, more choice solution to solve the primary problem.
Chad, Ethan, and Cara sit down with political strategist Mike Madrid, author of The Latino Century, to unpack why Latino voters have become the fastest-growing bloc of independent voters in America.
We sit down with Jeremy, Senior VP of Open Primaries, to dig into a new IVP/Open Primaries poll of registered NYC Democrats - and what it reveals is wild.
This episode of the Independent Voter Podcast dives into the chaos surrounding the Maine Senate race after Graham Platner's withdrawal amid allegations and vetting failures.
Chad, Ethan, and Cara sit down with political strategist Mike Madrid, author of The Latino Century, to unpack why Latino voters have become the fastest-growing bloc of independent voters in America.
We sit down with Jeremy, Senior VP of Open Primaries, to dig into a new IVP/Open Primaries poll of registered NYC Democrats - and what it reveals is wild.
In this episode of the Independent Voter Podcast, Chad and Shawn sit down with Lisa Rice, founder of Grow Democracy DC and a leading voice in the election reform movement.
Independent Voter Podcast
Susan von Seggern
