Princeton Study: Future Presidential Elections More Likely to Look Like 2016

Published: 09 Oct, 2017
1 min read
Data scientists Vinad Bakthavachalam and Jake Fuentes have published this study of the Electoral College. They estimate that in future U.S. presidential elections in which the popular vote margin between the two leading candidates is 3% or less, "over 30% of elections in the next century are likely to select a President against the will of the majority of voters.
Thanks to Justin Levitt for the link.
Read the full study:
Editor's note: This update originally published on Ballot Access News and has been republished with permission from the author.
Photo Credit: txking / shutterstock.com
You Might Also Like
Xavier Becerra Bolts Into First Place in IVN California Governor Poll
Survey of 3,404 verified California voters shows Democrat in front. Second-choice data reveals where Yee's supporters are headed....
20 Apr, 2026
-
8 min read
Judge Slams Door on New Attack Against California’s Top Two Primary
A group of minor parties in California challenged the state's nonpartisan Top Two primary in court and a federal judge handed them another loss, ruling in part that they can’t keep suing over arguments already rejected by other courts....
15 Apr, 2026
-
4 min read
Why We Call Ourselves Independent Voter News
For 15 years, we have published more than 14,000 articles written by people from different walks of life, different parts of the country, and different political backgrounds....
01 Apr, 2026
-
2 min read


