Princeton Study: Future Presidential Elections More Likely to Look Like 2016

Author: Richard Winger
Created: 09 Oct, 2017
●
Updated: 21 Nov, 2022●
1 min read
Data scientists Vinad Bakthavachalam and Jake Fuentes have published this study of the Electoral College. They estimate that in future U.S. presidential elections in which the popular vote margin between the two leading candidates is 3% or less, "over 30% of elections in the next century are likely to select a President against the will of the majority of voters.
Thanks to Justin Levitt for the link.
Read the full study:
Editor's note: This update originally published on Ballot Access News and has been republished with permission from the author.
Photo Credit: txking / shutterstock.com
Latest articles
Pennsylvania Rep Chris Rabb: There Should Be No Second-Class Voters In Our State
A bill that would open Pennsylvania primary elections to over 1.4 million registered independent voters, HB 280, cleared its first major hurdle to becoming law this week when it cleared the House State Government Committee....
15 May, 2025
-
3 min read
Boston City Council Backs Ranked Choice Voting Home Rule Petition in 8–4 Vote
On May 14, the Boston City Council voted 8–4 in favor of a Home Rule Petition allowing voters to rank candidates in order of preference, a shift that could change how Bostonians elect their leaders....
14 May, 2025
-
3 min read
AB 955 Revisited: How to Expand Cross-Border Care Without Sacrificing Patient Protections
IVN recently examined AB 955, by Assemblymember David Alvarez. The bill seeks to expand a healthcare service program I created in 1998 as the author of SB1658....
14 May, 2025
-
4 min read