Princeton Study: Future Presidential Elections More Likely to Look Like 2016

Author: Richard Winger
Created: 09 Oct, 2017
●
Updated: 21 Nov, 2022●
1 min read
Data scientists Vinad Bakthavachalam and Jake Fuentes have published this study of the Electoral College. They estimate that in future U.S. presidential elections in which the popular vote margin between the two leading candidates is 3% or less, "over 30% of elections in the next century are likely to select a President against the will of the majority of voters.
Thanks to Justin Levitt for the link.
Read the full study:
Editor's note: This update originally published on Ballot Access News and has been republished with permission from the author.
Photo Credit: txking / shutterstock.com
Latest articles
FDA Ban on GLP-1 Compounds for Weight-Loss Goes into Full Effect
A new federal enforcement deadline is set to reshape access to some of the country’s most in-demand weight-loss drugs. Starting May 22, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) will prohibit most pharmacies and providers from producing or distributing compounded versions of GLP-1 medications semaglutide and tirzepatide, active ingredients in blockbuster drugs including Ozempic, Wegovy, Mounjaro, and Zepbound....
21 May, 2025
-
2 min read
Senator Jacky Rosen Bucks Party Politics to Champion No Tax on Tips
Americans woke up to the news Wednesday that the US Senate did the seemingly impossible in today’s hyper-polarized political environment: Its members unanimously approved a stand-alone bill that eliminates taxes on tips, which was one of President Donald Trump’s signature promises on the 2024 campaign trail....
21 May, 2025
-
4 min read
DOJ Opens Cuomo Investigation as Ranked Choice Mayoral Primary Nears
The New York Times scooped on May 20 that the U.S. Department of Justice has opened a criminal investigation into Andrew Cuomo, the former New York governor and current front-runner in the city’s Democratic mayoral primary. The inquiry focuses on Cuomo’s testimony to Congress about his administration’s handling of nursing home admissions during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic....
21 May, 2025
-
3 min read