Princeton Study: Future Presidential Elections More Likely to Look Like 2016

Created: 09 October, 2017
Updated: 21 November, 2022

Data scientists Vinad Bakthavachalam and Jake Fuentes have published this study of the Electoral College. They estimate that in future U.S. presidential elections in which the popular vote margin between the two leading candidates is 3% or less, "over 30% of elections in the next century are likely to select a President against the will of the majority of voters.

Thanks to Justin Levitt for the link.

Read the full study:

Editor's note: This update originally published on Ballot Access News and has been republished with permission from the author.

Photo Credit: txking / shutterstock.com

Latest articles

Capitol Hill
How the Two-Party System Makes America Less Stable
Editor's Note: This piece on Dan Sally's website and has been republished with permission from the ...
16 April, 2024
7 min read
mail in ballot
New Guide Shows You How to Vote at Home in Your State
Many voters prefer the ease and convenience of being able to cast a ballot by mail. However, the rules that govern mail-in and absentee voting are not always well-known -- especially since they vary from state to state....
16 April, 2024
2 min read