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Meet the New Congress Members from California
Several newly elected U.S. Congress Members from California ran as challengers against favored incumbents. Some of these new Members stand out as evidence of California's growing independent political dynamic. In the Bay Area Eric Swalwell defeated career Democratic politician and incumbent Rep. Pete Stark while a local farmer, David G. Valadao, will represent a portion of California's agricultural heartland.
California's Newest House Members: Click on The Districts Below
Doug LaMalfa (R): 1st
13 Nov, 2012
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6 min read
GOP Loss Reveals Demographic Trouble, Split within Party
Credit: LA Times
The only silver lining for the GOP that can be gleaned from the November 6 elections is that it retained control of the House of Representatives. Otherwise, the election results were devastating for the GOP, and while demographics was a primary reason Governor Romney lost to President Obama and Democrats increased their majority in the Senate, it was not the only reason. The loss, once again, revealed a split in the party which I mentioned in a prior column.
A demographic anal
12 Nov, 2012
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6 min read
Republican Donors Unhappy With Candidate Performance
Credit: motherjones.com
The 2012 election cycle produced an unprecedented amount of political spending. The two major parties lended their monetary support to maximize the advertisement of their hopeful candidates. The Republican party experienced a lack of bang-for-the-buck having lost several contests including the presidency. Less than stellar election results leave Republican donors unhappy with the performance of their campaigns.
Big GOP donors are likely upset with the performance of the
11 Nov, 2012
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3 min read
Battleground Nevada Goes to Obama
Photo: Isaac Brekken
In mid-October, IVN reported on the possibility that Libertarian presidential hopeful Gary Johnson could upset the vote in Nevada. Regardless of what Johnson pulls at the polls, either Obama or Romney will win the state. Both camps have spent a whopping amount of time and money to woe voters, and Obama won 53 percent of the vote in this swing state.
At the beginning of Election Day, nearly 60 percent of registered voters had already cast their ballots, and polls showed 50.
06 Nov, 2012
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2 min read
Election Night Coverage Live on IVN.us
[Update 5:20 PM PST]
Independent candidate Angus King is projected, by CNN, to win the Senate seat in Maine.
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[Update 5:15 PM PST]
In Ohio, 1.8 million voters cast their ballot early or by absentee ballot. It could still be some time before we know a victory.
CNN projects Georgia will go to Mitt Romney.
In Florida, over half of the precincts are reporting a very slight lead for Romney now. This is the first time the GOP candidate has taken the lead tonight. His lead is 52-47.
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[Updat
06 Nov, 2012
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16 min read
Election Day Coverage on IVN.us
[Update 8:18 PM PST]
IVN.us announces Barack Obama has been re-elected to a second term.
[Update 8:17 PM PST]
CNN projects President Barack Obama will win re-election by taking the state of Ohio.
[Update 8:15 PM PST]
With the projection of Oregon going to Obama, statistically speaking it is very unlikely Romney will be able to pull off a victory because one more state will put the president over the top.
CNN also projects Missouri to be carried by Mitt Romney.
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[Update 8:10 PM PST]
Th
06 Nov, 2012
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21 min read
An Electoral Vote Tie: What Would Happen?
It’s the morning of Wednesday, November 7, 2012, and every major news outlet is reporting that for the first time in nearly two centuries, there is a tie in the electoral vote. Both Mitt Romney and Barack Obama have secured 269 votes. Fire begins to rain down from the sky, the ground begins to quake, and Republicans and Democrats lose their minds.
Okay, so maybe the imagery of apocalyptic events is bit extreme, but the reaction people will see in the wake of reports that there is a projected ti
06 Nov, 2012
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5 min read
Electoral College Prediction - Obama vs Romney
Going to the website 270towin.com and awarding each toss-up state to the leader of that state's poll average from Real Clear Politics, I came up with this Electoral College prediction:
Obama: 303
Romney: 235
That's Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania (which isn't a swing state), Ohio, and Virginia for Obama and North Carolina and Florida for Romney.Virginia is the closest at +0.3 for Obama, but even then it would only make it 290-248 for Obama.
Entering this exercise I
06 Nov, 2012
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2 min read
Super PAC Money Has Been Flowing Freely to Grab Last Voters
Mitt Romney has been appealing to four blue-leaning states much more aggressively this week, launching ads totaling $1.8 million in Minnesota and New Mexico this past Wednesday. In an attempt to “buy” the traditionally Democratic states, the pro-Romney Super PAC Restore Our Future has been dumping money into advertising in these crucial states. PAC and Super PAC money has been flowing freely in a last minute attempt to gain with undecided voters.
In a tit-for-tat of funding, every state in whic
05 Nov, 2012
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2 min read
Twitter Engagement Map Shows Obama Leading the Twitter War
Thursday, Twitter launched a new interactive map aimed to provide users real-time data on the presidential candidates' most successful tweets. The Twitter engagement map allows users to click on a tweet from either Barack Obama or Mitt Romney and see how it ranked in terms of engagement in each state.
Tweets from the Twitter accounts of the presidential candidates @MittRomney and @BarackObama are organized based on the level of engagement of that tweet. Engagement can include a retweet, "favori
04 Nov, 2012
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2 min read
