Bucking Historic Trends, Independent Voter ID Goes Up in 'High Stakes' Election Year

Bucking Historic Trends, Independent Voter ID Goes Up in 'High Stakes' Election Year
Photo by Dyana Wing So on Unsplash
Published: 31 Jan, 2024
1 min read

Photo Credit: Dyana Wing So on Unsplash

Independent voters are sending a message to the Republican and Democratic Parties: We are done playing your games.

Every month Gallup surveys US voters on how they choose to identify politically. Independent voter ID has consistently fallen between the 40 to 50 percentiles over the last decade but tends to drop in election years as voters are forced to make a choice between the major parties.

Yet, according to the most recent survey, independent ID jumped 5 percentage points from 40% to 45% from December 2023 to January 2024. Meanwhile, Republican ID sits at 25% and Democratic ID is at 27% -- suggesting a more unpredictable year for US elections.

The latest numbers were published not long after Gallup revealed that the polling average for independent voter ID in 2023 tied a historic high of 43% -- a record initially set in 2014. This, too, bucked the historic trend of a decline ahead of a presidential election year.

These findings coincide with the parties' message to voters that they don't matter. The presidential contest is considered a done deal despite only two states conducting their presidential preference elections. Most voters haven't had a chance to voice their preference for president.

Not that it matters to the parties. They claim the stakes have never been higher in a presidential election but have made it abundantly clear that their interests come first. Yet, as we kick off the 2024 election cycle, more Americans than ever are fed up with the options the parties' have forced on them and are tired of being treated like second-class voters.

In this article

You Might Also Like

More Choice California Launches to Defend Nonpartisan Primary as Democratic and Republican Operatives Join Forces to Repeal It
More Choice California Launches to Defend Nonpartisan Primary as Democratic and Republican Operatives Join Forces to Repeal It
A broad cross-partisan coalition of California reformers launched More Choice California on Monday to lead the opposition against a proposed repeal of the state's nonpartisan Top Two primary system. ...
13 May, 2026
-
13 min read
NYC Shuts Out Half Its Voters. The Forward Party Supports a New Bill to Change That.
NYC Shuts Out Half Its Voters. The Forward Party Supports a New Bill to Change That.
The polarization we see in our politics is not a mystery. It is the predictable output of a system designed to produce it. Nothing meaningful can change until we fix the structure that keeps producing these outcomes....
08 May, 2026
-
5 min read
Independent Voters Hold the Power in Several California Races – If They Vote
Independent Voters Hold the Power in Several California Races – If They Vote
California's nonpartisan primary gives independent voters real decision-making power. All voters, regardless of their political party, can cast a vote for any candidate. California is only one of three states that treat every voter and every candidate exactly the same. ...
05 May, 2026
-
53 min read
Embrace the Jungle: Why California's "Jungle Primary" Is Actually 115 Years of Reform Against Party Machines
Embrace the Jungle: Why California's "Jungle Primary" Is Actually 115 Years of Reform Against Party Machines
The 115-year-old election system that Fox News and Sacramento operatives from both major parties are calling chaotic was specifically designed to stop the kind of party control they're now trying to claw back...
01 May, 2026
-
5 min read
Independent Voter Project Talks Nevada, Nonpartisan Primaries, and Voter Choice on ‘775 Alive’
Independent Voter Project Talks Nevada, Nonpartisan Primaries, and Voter Choice on ‘775 Alive’
Chad Peace of the Independent Voter Project sat down this week with Crystal Newton and Scott Gavorsky on their podcast 775 Alive, a Nevada-based show that takes the kind of local civic questions most political media glosses over and really digs into them....
29 Apr, 2026
-
2 min read
IVP California Governor Poll Sparks Reddit Debate on Ranked Choice Voting
IVP California Governor Poll Sparks Reddit Debate on Ranked Choice Voting
The Independent Voter Project (IVP) released a new poll this week that shows a seismic shift in the California governor’s race. But on Reddit, it also hit a nerve for many voters calling for ranked choice elections....
23 Apr, 2026
-
6 min read