Bucking Historic Trends, Independent Voter ID Goes Up in 'High Stakes' Election Year

Americans
Photo by Dyana Wing So on Unsplash
Published: 31 Jan, 2024
1 min read

Photo Credit: Dyana Wing So on Unsplash

 

Independent voters are sending a message to the Republican and Democratic Parties: We are done playing your games.

Every month Gallup surveys US voters on how they choose to identify politically. Independent voter ID has consistently fallen between the 40 to 50 percentiles over the last decade but tends to drop in election years as voters are forced to make a choice between the major parties.

Yet, according to the most recent survey, independent ID jumped 5 percentage points from 40% to 45% from December 2023 to January 2024. Meanwhile, Republican ID sits at 25% and Democratic ID is at 27% -- suggesting a more unpredictable year for US elections.

The latest numbers were published not long after Gallup revealed that the polling average for independent voter ID in 2023 tied a historic high of 43% -- a record initially set in 2014. This, too, bucked the historic trend of a decline ahead of a presidential election year.

These findings coincide with the parties' message to voters that they don't matter. The presidential contest is considered a done deal despite only two states conducting their presidential preference elections. Most voters haven't had a chance to voice their preference for president.

Not that it matters to the parties. They claim the stakes have never been higher in a presidential election but have made it abundantly clear that their interests come first. Yet, as we kick off the 2024 election cycle, more Americans than ever are fed up with the options the parties' have forced on them and are tired of being treated like second-class voters.

In this article

You Might Also Like

“Cartoon illustration of Americans facing the U.S. Capitol as light pierces through red and blue partisan cracks, representing independent voters and hope for political reform.”
New Poll: Voters Want New Leadership – and They’re Turning to Independents
A new poll from the Independent Center highlights a clear message from the public: Americans are fed up with the current political leadership, and they’re ready for change....
12 Nov, 2025
-
2 min read
person with a voted sticker.
CNN Poll Shows Independent Voters Are More Diverse Than You Think
A new CNN poll conducted by SSRS between August 21 and September 1 surveyed 2,077 adults, including 1,006 who identify as independents. The results challenge the idea that independents are a single bloc of undecided swing voters. Instead, they fall into five distinct groups with very different views of politics....
26 Sep, 2025
-
2 min read
Charlie Kirk
PODCAST: Charlie Kirk’s Tragedy is a Reason to Self-Reflect
The shocking assassination of Charlie Kirk has shaken the country and highlighted just how fractured our democracy has become. On this episode of the Independent Voter Podcast, Chad Peace and Cara McCormick reflect on the moment, drawing comparisons to the unity the nation felt after 9/11 and asking whether independent-minded reforms could help bring Americans back together....
18 Sep, 2025
-
1 min read
Group of people standing outside in DC.
Ranked Choice Voting Survives Delay Attempts in DC
According to reporting from The Washington Informer and WUSA9 (CBS), D.C. Councilmember Wendell Felder (D Ward 7) has withdrawn his emergency legislation that would have required the D.C. Board of Elections (DCBOE) to conduct a comprehensive needs assessment before implementing ranked choice voting (RCV) in 2026. Felder’s proposal did not receive enough support from his colleagues during the council’s December 2 legislative meeting, following a breakfast discussion earlier that morning....
04 Dec, 2025
-
3 min read
Bob Foster
Remembering Bob Foster
Independent Voter News is saddened to share the passing of Bob Foster, a trusted advisor to the Independent Voter Project and a longtime friend of our organization. He died on Sunday at the age of 78....
04 Dec, 2025
-
2 min read
Caution tape with US Capitol building in the background.
Did the Republicans or Democrats Start the Gerrymandering Fight?
The 2026 midterm election cycle is quickly approaching. However, there is a lingering question mark over what congressional maps will look like when voters start to cast their ballots, especially as Republicans and Democrats fight to obtain any electoral advantage possible. ...
11 Nov, 2025
-
8 min read