Gallup: Independent Numbers Dominate; Parties Continue to Slip

major parties
Photo by Kelly Sikkema on Unsplash. Free to use under Unsplash license.
Published: 13 Jan, 2024
2 min read

Photo by Kelly Sikkema on Unsplash

 

Gallup reports that in 2023 the percentage of US voters who self-identified as independent tied a record-high average of 43% -- first set in 2014. Meanwhile, party identification continues to slip. 

The latest report looks at the average from monthly surveys taken throughout the year.  Independent ID went as high as 50% in April 2023.

The independent average rose two percentage points from 2022 to 2023. This is noteworthy because it is the first time in modern US history that no change or a small decline didn't occur going into a presidential election year.

Due to the partisan structures of the US electoral system, voters are forced to pick a side between the Republican and Democratic Parties, so a drop in independent ID is expected.

However, Gallup analyst Jeff Jones observed in 2023 that Gen X and Millennial voters are bucking historic trends by remaining independent even as they get older. And, Gen Z is more inclined to lean independent than either generation.

Mainstream news outlets that cover this Gallup report immediately look at it in terms of who benefits between the Republican and Democratic Parties. Their job is to keep the narrative framed around Team Red vs. Team Blue.

But few consider what this could mean in an election year in which independent and third-party candidates are more present in the electoral conversation because of big names like Kennedy and increased voter interest in a third option.

IVP Donate

Robert F. Kennedy Jr, Cornel West, Jill Stein, and potentially Joe Manchin are all part of this conversation -- and while none of these candidates are likely to win, they will give voters who are largely dissatisfied with the two parties another option.

Fewer news outlets discuss what this could mean for the myriad of reform efforts across the country to make systemic changes to way elections are conducted.

Nonpartisan electoral reform has seen one historic election cycle after another consistently since 2010. Is it a coincidence that this corresponds with a rise in independent voters?  Absolutely not.

It is reflected in national surveys that democracy is a priority issue for many US voters. As a result, primary reform, gerrymandering reform, campaign finance reform, voting reform, and more have built substantial momentum nationwide.

Until US elections are changed at a systemic level, the independent majority in the US won't be able to meaningfully participate or express themselves in elections.

They want competition and accountability -- something they're denied in a system that treats them like second-class voters.

You Might Also Like

person with a voted sticker.
CNN Poll Shows Independent Voters Are More Diverse Than You Think
A new CNN poll conducted by SSRS between August 21 and September 1 surveyed 2,077 adults, including 1,006 who identify as independents. The results challenge the idea that independents are a single bloc of undecided swing voters. Instead, they fall into five distinct groups with very different views of politics....
26 Sep, 2025
-
2 min read
Charlie Kirk
PODCAST: Charlie Kirk’s Tragedy is a Reason to Self-Reflect
The shocking assassination of Charlie Kirk has shaken the country and highlighted just how fractured our democracy has become. On this episode of the Independent Voter Podcast, Chad Peace and Cara McCormick reflect on the moment, drawing comparisons to the unity the nation felt after 9/11 and asking whether independent-minded reforms could help bring Americans back together....
18 Sep, 2025
-
1 min read
Colorado i voted
Colorado Voter Registration Data Shows Independents Now the Majority
Colorado has reached a new milestone in voter registration: unaffiliated voters now make up more than half of the electorate....
17 Sep, 2025
-
1 min read
Ballrooms, Ballots, and a Three-Way Fight for New York
Ballrooms, Ballots, and a Three-Way Fight for New York
The latest Independent Voter Podcast episode takes listeners through the messy intersections of politics, reform, and public perception. Chad and Cara open with the irony of partisan outrage over trivial issues like a White House ballroom while overlooking the deeper dysfunctions in our democracy. From California to Maine, they unpack how the very words on a ballot can tilt entire elections and how both major parties manipulate language and process to maintain power....
30 Oct, 2025
-
1 min read
California Prop 50 gets an F
Princeton Gerrymandering Project Gives California Prop 50 an 'F'
The special election for California Prop 50 wraps up November 4 and recent polling shows the odds strongly favor its passage. The measure suspends the state’s independent congressional map for a legislative gerrymander that Princeton grades as one of the worst in the nation....
30 Oct, 2025
-
3 min read
bucking party on gerrymandering
5 Politicians Bucking Their Party on Gerrymandering
Across the country, both parties are weighing whether to redraw congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Texas, California, Missouri, North Carolina, Utah, Indiana, Colorado, Illinois, and Virginia are all in various stages of the action. Here are five politicians who have declined to support redistricting efforts promoted by their own parties....
31 Oct, 2025
-
4 min read