logo

Gallup: Independent Numbers Dominate; Parties Continue to Slip

major parties
Photo by Kelly Sikkema on Unsplash. Free to use under Unsplash license.
Created: 13 January, 2024
Updated: 14 January, 2024
2 min read

Photo by Kelly Sikkema on Unsplash

 

Gallup reports that in 2023 the percentage of US voters who self-identified as independent tied a record-high average of 43% -- first set in 2014. Meanwhile, party identification continues to slip. 

The latest report looks at the average from monthly surveys taken throughout the year.  Independent ID went as high as 50% in April 2023.

The independent average rose two percentage points from 2022 to 2023. This is noteworthy because it is the first time in modern US history that no change or a small decline didn't occur going into a presidential election year.

Due to the partisan structures of the US electoral system, voters are forced to pick a side between the Republican and Democratic Parties, so a drop in independent ID is expected.

However, Gallup analyst Jeff Jones observed in 2023 that Gen X and Millennial voters are bucking historic trends by remaining independent even as they get older. And, Gen Z is more inclined to lean independent than either generation.

Mainstream news outlets that cover this Gallup report immediately look at it in terms of who benefits between the Republican and Democratic Parties. Their job is to keep the narrative framed around Team Red vs. Team Blue.

But few consider what this could mean in an election year in which independent and third-party candidates are more present in the electoral conversation because of big names like Kennedy and increased voter interest in a third option.

More Choice for San Diego

Robert F. Kennedy Jr, Cornel West, Jill Stein, and potentially Joe Manchin are all part of this conversation -- and while none of these candidates are likely to win, they will give voters who are largely dissatisfied with the two parties another option.

Fewer news outlets discuss what this could mean for the myriad of reform efforts across the country to make systemic changes to way elections are conducted.

Nonpartisan electoral reform has seen one historic election cycle after another consistently since 2010. Is it a coincidence that this corresponds with a rise in independent voters?  Absolutely not.

It is reflected in national surveys that democracy is a priority issue for many US voters. As a result, primary reform, gerrymandering reform, campaign finance reform, voting reform, and more have built substantial momentum nationwide.

Until US elections are changed at a systemic level, the independent majority in the US won't be able to meaningfully participate or express themselves in elections.

They want competition and accountability -- something they're denied in a system that treats them like second-class voters.

Latest articles

AZ vote
AZ Supreme Court Finally Ends Legal Drama over Prop 140, Says Votes Will Count
Early voting is set to kick off in Arizona this week, and the state Supreme Court has put to bed a legal battle over Prop 140 that has dragged on well past the printing of ballots. The high court ruled that votes for Prop 140 will count. ...
06 October, 2024
-
1 min read
Trump
Trump Lost Independent Voters in 2020 -- Can He Win Them Back?
Trump won over independent voters in 2016, lost them in 2020. Can he win them again in 2024?...
06 October, 2024
-
9 min read
criwd
US Voters, Activists Set to Rally for Open Primaries Ahead of Historic Elections
The 2024 election cycle is already a historic year for election reform. Six states plus the District of Columbia have measures on the November 5 ballot that, if approved by voters, will open taxpayer-funded primary elections to voters outside the Republican and Democratic Parties....
03 October, 2024
-
5 min read