High Latino Voter Turnout Could Make the Difference for Obama

image
Published: 05 Nov, 2012
2 min read
Photo: usdailyreview.com

The latest Latino Decisions tracking poll has President Obama way ahead among Latino voters with a total of 73% of respondents saying they plan to vote for Obama, and only 22% of respondents saying they plan to vote for Governor Mitt Romney.

This latest Latino voters poll reveals the potential for a historic landslide among Latino voters in a presidential election. The highest percentage of Latinos that has ever voted for a presidential candidate since 1980 was 72% for Bill Clinton in his successful 1996 bid for reelection.

Why do Latino voters poll so heavily in favor of Obama this cycle?

One fascinating analysis at The Washington Post acknowledges the role of immigration policy and Mitt Romney's hard line immigration rhetoric during the Republican primary, but contends that two other issues may have done more to shape this electoral outcome: 1) Republican opposition to the Democrats' health care bill, and 2) Mr. Obama's appointment of Sonia Sotomayor to the Supreme Court over Republican objections.

Another analysis at The Hill agrees that immigration policy is not the main issue for Latino voters, but suggests that jobs, home affordability, and business opportunities may be just as important as health care to Latino voters, in an analysis that suggests the latest poll figures might be skewed a little toward the incumbent.

Curiously absent from much of the discussion about the Latino voters poll this morning is any analysis of the ongoing drug war in Mexico, which is in no small part, a result of US drug policy, and which has turned Mexico into one of the most violent and deadly conflict zones in the world, with thousands of drug war deaths every year.

Neither President Obama nor Governor Romney have made drug policy reform an issue in the 2012 election.

With such a heavy share of Latino voters supporting Mr. Obama, if voter turnout among Latinos is high on Tuesday, and if the latest poll numbers hold through the election, Latinos could potentially help decide the outcome of the 2012 presidential election by delivering Obama wins in Virginia and Florida.

IVP Donate

You Might Also Like

Hillcrest
'Build, Baby, Build!' is NOT the Answer to Housing Crises
Can San Diego build its way out of its three-part housing crisis – supply, affordability and homelessness? Some of elected officials think so and are leading the charge. I have been in the real estate industry for 50-plus years, and I say they are on the wrong track....
27 Oct, 2025
-
4 min read
Isn't It Weird That Congress Feels No Urgency to Re-Open the Government?
Isn't It Weird That Congress Feels No Urgency to Re-Open the Government?
The U.S. has entered Day 22 of the latest government shutdown with no end in sight. As pundits expect it to surpass the 35-day record set during Trump’s first term, a new Gallup poll shows voters’ approval of Congress has plummeted in the last month. Yet, for congressional leaders, there isn’t any urgency to re-open the government. House Speaker Mike Johnson and Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries trade jabs back and forth in the media, but the blame game continues to be prioritized over solutions....
22 Oct, 2025
-
5 min read
Proposition 50 voter guide
California Prop 50: Partisan Power Play or Necessary Counterpunch?
November 4 marks a special election for what has become the most controversial ballot measure in California in recent memory: Proposition 50, which would circumvent congressional districts drawn by the state’s independent redistricting commission for a legislative-drawn map....
01 Oct, 2025
-
9 min read