Republican enthusiasm for midterm elections may not lead to political change

Republican enthusiasm for midterm elections may not lead to political change
Published: 22 Jun, 2010
2 min read

With the Democratic-controlled Congress weighed down by a devastatingly low twelve percent approval rating, Republican leadership might be tempted to flaunt the political pummeling that Democrats could face in November.

The GOP certainly has some merit for their midterm optimism.  The Christian Science Monitor notes the party with more enthusiasm going into the midterms is usually an indicator of how those elections will materialize.  “The enthusiasm question has generally provided an accurate indication of which party will fare better in the midterm elections,” says Jeffrey Jones, whom the Monitor cites in their report.

Heading into November, 59 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning Independents hold the “enthusiasm” advantage over Democratic voters.  By comparison, a mere 44 percent of Democratic-leaning voters hold a “more enthusiastic than usual” mindset.

For Republicans, it appears as if a change in leadership favoring them is certainly coming.  However, to slightly spin off a phrase from the Bill Clinton era, it depends on what the meaning of “change” is. That’s certainly what many voters are feeling at the moment.

According to a recent Rasmussen Reports telephone poll taken of 1,000 likely voters, 72 percent of GOP voters “continue to believe that GOP members of Congress have lost touch with the party base throughout the nation over the past several years.”  A mere 21 percent of Republican voters believe that current Republicans in Congress are actually doing a “good job.”

However, with a 61 percent approval from Democratic supporters, confidence in Democratic members of Congress is higher among their supporters than Republican support of Republican members.  Branching out to survey all voters, a shocking 18 percent of them say that the Republican members of Congress have done a “good job” of representing the party’s values.

Rating the consistency of a party’s actions with its values, voters had higher marks for Democrats.  38 percent of all voters say that Democratic members of Congress have done a “good job” at representing the party’s values.

What essentially seems to be the case here is that there’s a blurring of the lines between the two parties.  Given that voters perceive Republicans as being more inconsistent with party principles, what distinguishes them from Democrats?

The most telling statement of the report from Rasmussen’s poll is that voters are “unconvinced” that a Republican takeover in November would make a “noticeable” difference.  As a matter of fact, 35 percent believe a new party is needed because the difference between Democrats and Republicans is not noticeable.

IVP Donate

Right now, given the low approval ratings of the Democratic-controlled Congress, voters might perceive Republicans to be the lesser of two evils in the upcoming elections.  At the same time, the “lesser” option still has the word “evil” tagged to the label.

The Rasmussen poll demonstrates that Republicans must bring fresh solutions to the table if they are to change voters’ perceptions of making a difference after the midterms.

Is the time coming for Republicans to party like it’s 1994?

Perhaps, but their work is certainly cut out for them.

You Might Also Like

New IVP 2026 California Governor Poll: What the Toplines Don’t Tell You
New IVP 2026 California Governor Poll: What the Toplines Don’t Tell You
Using verified California voter file data, IVP surveyed high-propensity voters from February 13 through 20. The poll tested first-choice ballot preferences alongside issue intensity on affordability and the cost of living, immigration enforcement, more choice reform, and more....
23 Feb, 2026
-
10 min read
81% of Americans Say Money Controls Politics – Can a Constitutional Amendment Fix It?
81% of Americans Say Money Controls Politics – Can a Constitutional Amendment Fix It?
Polls consistently show that nearly all Americans across the political spectrum agree that there is too much money in politics – whether from foreign sources, corporations, or so-called “dark money” groups. ...
23 Feb, 2026
-
13 min read
10 Reasons Why the Congressional Stock Trading Ban Will Never Pass
10 Reasons Why the Congressional Stock Trading Ban Will Never Pass
The overlap between committee assignments and stock ownership is not automatically illegal. Because the current legal framework permits this proximity as long as disclosure rules are followed, lawmakers are not operating under a system that forces change....
20 Feb, 2026
-
4 min read