The Democrats' Big Down-Ballot Losses Leave Door Open For Independents

Published: 05 Nov, 2015
2 min read

Republican strategist Rory Cooper posted this political jab at the Democratic Party on Nov 4:

https://twitter.com/rorycooper/status/661906137562923009

Regardless of whether these are actual factual numbers (they do seem to be), he's definitely pointing out a growing concern in Democratic circles -- i.e. an inability to create vast 'coat-tail effects' during national elections.

The House and Senate ebb and flow each two-year election cycle, but losing so many state-level officials seems almost crippling to the party.

In less than a decade, it seems that the Democratic Party has abandoned its widely successful '50-state' strategy, a brainchild of Howard Dean, a Democratic guru and once party chairman.

Employing this strategy from 2005 to 2009, the Democratic Party made gains even in the reddest of the red states, gaining 39 state legislative seats, 3 U.S. House seats, and 1 U.S. Senate seat.

But now, it seems these gains have eroded to almost total losses.

Dropping the ball has allowed independent candidates an avenue to challenge seats. Greg Orman's nearly successful Senate bid was fueled partly by the Democratic Party's total lack of support for their own candidate, Chad Taylor. This allowed Orman to challenge what was once thought to be a completely secure Republican seat.

Modern campaign strategy seems to be based in two parts: consolidate the base during the primary, then move to the center to win over the moderates.

Independents can upset this strategy by capturing and holding the moderate vote from the earliest moments of the primary, then work on capturing swing-voters during the general election when the other candidates are scrambling in their attempts to 'fake moderation.'

IVP Donate

As the Democrats seem to be solely interested in holding the presidency and reclaiming the Senate in 2016, independents have the best opportunity yet to challenge Republicans in the 'forgotten races.'

Time is running out for independents to launch viable campaigns, but the current political climate has definitely presented potential candidates with the chance at a bottom-up strategy for 2016 -- one that could easily carry into 2018 and beyond.

You Might Also Like

Trump sitting in the oval office with a piece of paper with a cannabis leaf on his desk.
Is Trump About to Outflank Democrats on Cannabis? Progressives Sound the Alarm
As President Donald Trump signals renewed interest in reclassifying cannabis from a Schedule I drug to Schedule III, a policy goal long championed by liberals and libertarians, the reaction among some partisan progressive advocates is not celebration, but concern....
08 Dec, 2025
-
5 min read
Malibu, California.
From the Palisades to Simi Valley, Independent Voters Poised to Decide the Fight to Replace Jacqui Irwin
The coastline that defines California’s mythology begins here. From Malibu’s winding cliffs to the leafy streets of Brentwood and Bel Air, through Topanga Canyon and into the valleys of Calabasas, Agoura Hills, and Thousand Oaks, the 42nd Assembly District holds some of the most photographed, most coveted, and most challenged terrain in the state. ...
10 Dec, 2025
-
6 min read
Ranked choice voting
Ranked Choice for Every Voter? New Bill Would Transform Every Congressional Election by 2030
As voters brace for what is expected to be a chaotic and divisive midterm election cycle, U.S. Representatives Jamie Raskin (Md.), Don Beyer (Va.), and U.S. Senator Peter Welch (Vt.) have re-introduced legislation that would require ranked choice voting (RCV) for all congressional primaries and general elections beginning in 2030....
10 Dec, 2025
-
3 min read