CNBC's 3% Rule Likely to Shrink Field in Next Republican Debate

Published: 30 Sep, 2015
1 min read

CNBC confirmed Wednesday that there will be two events for the next Republican debate, an undercard debate and then the main stage of top-tier candidates. The announcement comes after some candidates expressed concern that CNBC would not follow a similar format as CNN and Fox News.

The CNBC criteria reads:

National polls will be used to determine a candidate's eligibility and placement on the stage. To be eligible to appear in either segment, a candidate must have at least 1% in any one of the methodologically sound and recognized national polls conducted by: NBC, ABC, CBS, Fox, CNN and Bloomberg, released between September 17, 2015 and October 21, 2015.  To appear in the 8pm debate a candidate must have an average of 3% among these polls. The polls will be averaged and will be rounded up to 3% for any candidate with a standing of 2.5% or higher. Candidates who average below that will be invited to the 6pm debate.

Looking at the current Real Clear Politics polling average for the GOP candidates, it is difficult to speculate what this will do with the Republican field.

However, just looking at polls that are included in CNBC's criteria, U.S. Senator Rand Paul is in the most danger of not being included on the main stage and may have to sit at the kids' table with Bobby Jindal, Rick Santorum, George Pataki, and Lindsey Graham.

There is a very real and likely possibility that the main stage will feature less candidates than the first two debates.

The third Republican debate is scheduled for Wednesday, October 28, and will focus on the economy, jobs, and retirement. Both segments will be moderated by CNBC anchors John Harwood, Carl Quintanilla and Becky Quick.

You Might Also Like

Trump sitting in the oval office with a piece of paper with a cannabis leaf on his desk.
Is Trump About to Outflank Democrats on Cannabis? Progressives Sound the Alarm
As President Donald Trump signals renewed interest in reclassifying cannabis from a Schedule I drug to Schedule III, a policy goal long championed by liberals and libertarians, the reaction among some partisan progressive advocates is not celebration, but concern....
08 Dec, 2025
-
5 min read
Malibu, California.
From the Palisades to Simi Valley, Independent Voters Poised to Decide the Fight to Replace Jacqui Irwin
The coastline that defines California’s mythology begins here. From Malibu’s winding cliffs to the leafy streets of Brentwood and Bel Air, through Topanga Canyon and into the valleys of Calabasas, Agoura Hills, and Thousand Oaks, the 42nd Assembly District holds some of the most photographed, most coveted, and most challenged terrain in the state. ...
10 Dec, 2025
-
6 min read
Ranked choice voting
Ranked Choice for Every Voter? New Bill Would Transform Every Congressional Election by 2030
As voters brace for what is expected to be a chaotic and divisive midterm election cycle, U.S. Representatives Jamie Raskin (Md.), Don Beyer (Va.), and U.S. Senator Peter Welch (Vt.) have re-introduced legislation that would require ranked choice voting (RCV) for all congressional primaries and general elections beginning in 2030....
10 Dec, 2025
-
3 min read