Breaking Down the Numbers: Independent Voter Suppression in Pennsylvania

voting
Photo by Getty Images on Unsplash. Unsplash+ License obtained by author.
Published: 24 Apr, 2024
Updated: 26 Apr, 2024
3 min read

Photo Credit: Getty Images / Unsplash

 

Pennsylvania held its primary elections Tuesday, which effectively acted as the general election in most cases. However, statewide, over a million voters had to sit on the sidelines because of the state's closed primary rules.

The biggest election of consequence in the primaries was the race for attorney general. The presidential nominations were locked up, and the November ballot for US Senate was already decided due to uncontested primary elections.

As a result, turnout suffered. Roughly 18% of the state's eligible voting population voted -- a figure that could have been higher if a large chunk of the voting population was not shut out of the process.

Pennsylvania is 1 of 10 states with a purely closed primary election system, meaning only Republicans and Democrats can cast a ballot in these taxpayer-funded elections. Independent and third-party voters have to wait.

The closed process has a few consequences:

One, these primaries tend to attract only the most partisan of party loyalists, which results in low turnouts.

Two, most electoral districts are safe for one party or the other, which means the primaries are the most critical stage of the elections process.

IVP Donate

And three, because independent voters are told to join a party or don't vote, their rights to associate how they want while being equally protected under the law are violated -- and they have no meaningful say in who represents them.

One Pennsylvania voter said it best when they called it the modern-day version of "taxation without representation." All voters foot the bill for primary elections, but not all voters are treated equally or allowed access to them.  

To understand how significant independent voter suppression is in Pennsylvania, Spotlight PA broke down the numbers. 

There are 10.3 million eligible voters in Pennsylvania. 7.4 million live in state House districts where the winning candidate is effectively chosen in the primary.

In total, nearly 1.5 million members of both major parties decide the outcome of legislative elections in 86% of primaries held since only 14% of districts are competitive.

In other words, 14.5% of voters decide 86% of elections in Pennsylvania. Meanwhile, more than 1.3 million independent and third-party voters have no say in any of these contests. 

The numbers don't look any better when voters look at US House races.

The nonpartisan Unite America Institute, which released an extensive report on independent voter suppression as a result of the primary problem in February, found that just 3% of Pennsylvania voters elected three-quarters of the state's congressional delegation.

Let Us Vote : Sign Now!

 

PA Chart 1

Source: Unite America Institute

 

It is a similar story at a national level. To date, Unite America has found that a little more than 3% of voters have effectively elected a third of the US House under partisan primary systems -- and the primary season is far from over.

 

Primary Problem Chart

Source: Unite America Institute

More Choice for San Diego

 

Ballot PA, a state-based organization seeking primary reform, reported in a 2022 white paper (updated in 2023) that while independent voter registration in Pennsylvania may not be at the same level as other states, they were the "fastest-growing voter segment" over the last decade.

These voters are largely veterans and young people. Pennsylvania has the fourth-largest veteran population in the US, and research and surveys show that they are more likely to be independent than other US citizens. 

If trends continue, independent voters will make up a greater share of Pennsylvania's voter population -- which will mean even more voters disenfranchised in future elections.

People who want to see primary election reform in the state have ramped up their efforts over the last few years. Two bipartisan bills were introduced in the 2023-2024 legislative session.

They cleared one House committee but didn't get a floor vote. David Thornburgh of Ballot PA says he has spoken to Governor Josh Shapiro, who assured him if he and his organization can get a bill to his desk he will sign it. 

"Governor Shapiro supported a very similar bill back in 2009," said Thornburgh. "He told me to my face, get it to my desk, I'm supportive. So, let's bring it home."

Related articles

businessman holding his hands to his face.
New Poll: Half of US Voters Say They Voted For 'Lesser of Two Evils' in 2024
Citizen Data polled US voters following the 2024 elections and found that nearly half (47%) said they cast their ballot, not for the candidate they supported the most, but for the candidate they determined was the 'lesser of two evils.'...
09 Dec, 2024
-
2 min read
Andrew Yang
Andrew Yang: Democrats Have Only Themselves to Blame
Former presidential candidate and Forward Party Founder Andrew Yang says that if Democratic leaders are looking for someone to blame for their 2024 loss, they need to take a hard look in the mirror....
11 Nov, 2024
-
2 min read
ballot
Independent Voters Have Yet to Fully Flex Their Influence in Presidential Elections
Exit polling from Edison Research shows that self-identified independents made up a larger share of the 2024 vote -- but with independent ID reaching a majority of the electorate, this bloc has yet to fully make its presence felt in presidential elections....
07 Nov, 2024
-
2 min read

Latest articles

A person filling out a voting form with people voting in the background.
The ‘2% Democracy’: New Jersey Primary Elections Need Complete Systemic Overhaul
New Jersey will hold its statewide primary elections on Tuesday, June 10, to determine who will appear in the general election for the highest offices in the state, including governor. These are important elections – and yet they will be decided by a marginal percentage of voters....
09 Jun, 2025
-
4 min read
Boston Massachusetts
Boston, Concord Want Ranked Choice Voting -- Here's Why State Law Makes It Difficult
Concord is the latest town in Massachusetts to signal it wants to adopt ranked choice voting after residents overwhelmingly voted for Article 28 in a town meeting Wednesday. The vote comes not long after the Boston City Council advanced its own ranked choice voting measure....
09 Jun, 2025
-
4 min read
An electric sign of the American flag.
ABC's Sara Haines Calls Out 'Narrow View' that Independent Voters Can't Exist in Trump Era
American journalist and co-host of ABC’s The View, Sara Haines, refutes the notion that people can't be independent-minded in their election choices in an era in which the Republican Party is controlled by Trump – a perspective voiced by her colleague, Sunny Houstin that Haines describes as “narrow.”...
06 Jun, 2025
-
3 min read