Rasmussen: Donald Trump Remains Top Dog in GOP Contest

image
Published: 08 Feb, 2016
Updated: 16 Oct, 2022
2 min read

Political commentators believe that Tuesday's primary contest in New Hampshire is a make-or-break moment for Donald Trump. Lacking a traditional ground game in Iowa, Trump failed to morph his popularity in the polls to actual votes, and that could very well happen again in the Granite State.

Still, according to Rasmussen, Trump not only remains the front-runner in the eyes of the public, but is holding onto a commanding lead.

"The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters finds that Trump earns 31% support, followed by Rubio with 21% and Cruz at 20%. The rest of the candidates are in mid- to low single digits," the latest report states.

Rasmussen says that the order of the top three candidates has not changed much since the polling group looked at the entire race in mid-December. In fact, they have all been able to make slight gains at the expense of lower-tier candidates, something that will be interesting to watch as the field continues to shrink.

 

Image Source: Rasmussen Reports

gop_nominee_pre_8th_debate

 

Rasmussen Reports surveyed Americans prior to Saturday's GOP debate, so what affect the candidates' performances had on New Hampshire may not be fully assessed until the election results are in Tuesday night.

Rasmussen isn't the only polling source showing Trump maintaining his lead after finishing second in the Iowa. Real Clear Politics shows Trump leading with a nearly 9-point spread nationally (averaging the results of 4 polls) and a 17-point spread in New Hampshire.

IVP Donate

While several media outlets have called Iowa a major blow for Trump, he did come in second without spending much money and not having the same on-the-ground operations as Ted Cruz, winner of the Republican Iowa caucus, and Marco Rubio, who came in third.

However, Trump learned the hard way that no matter how much name recognition or media coverage he has, if he wants to win an election and secure his lead, he needs people on the ground, getting his supporters to the polls.

Photo Credit: Joseph Sohm / Shutterstock.com

Latest articles

CA capitol building dome with flags.
Why is CA Senator Mike McGuire Trying to Kill the Legal Cannabis Industry?
California’s legal cannabis industry is under mounting pressure, and in early June, state lawmakers and the governor appeared poised to help. A bill to freeze the state’s cannabis excise tax at 15% sailed through the State Assembly with a unanimous 74-0 vote. The governor’s office backed the plan. And legal cannabis businesses, still struggling to compete with unregulated sellers and mounting operating costs, saw a glimmer of hope....
03 Jul, 2025
-
7 min read
I voted buttons
After First RCV Election, Charlottesville Voters Back the Reform: 'They Get It, They Like It, They Want to Do It Again'
A new survey out of Charlottesville, Virginia, shows overwhelming support for ranked choice voting (RCV) following the city’s first use of the system in its June Democratic primary for City Council. Conducted one week after the election, the results found that nearly 90% of respondents support continued use of RCV....
03 Jul, 2025
-
3 min read
Crowd in Time Square.
NYC Exit Survey: 96% of Voters Understood Their Ranked Choice Ballots
An exit poll conducted by SurveyUSA on behalf of the nonprofit better elections group FairVote finds that ranked choice voting (RCV) continues to be supported by a vast majority of voters who find it simple, fair, and easy to use. The findings come in the wake of the city’s third use of RCV in its June 2025 primary elections....
01 Jul, 2025
-
6 min read