Final Gallup Poll Shows an Evenly Divided Country

image
Published: 06 Nov, 2012
2 min read
Credit: Dave Granlund

As the final day of the 2012 election cycle works American politics into a heated frenzy, a final Gallup poll (tracking opinions from November 1-4) finds the American public divided between Romney's plans for the economy and Obama's Medicare plans, as well as his ability to handle foreign diplomacy. The poll results remain close - even, in fact - and reflect the tense, competitive atmosphere this election has had in its entirety.

President Obama:

The poll finds Obama, leading favorably with 52 percent of women voters, as well as commanding leads with non-white, low income, the younger generation, the non-religious, and voters living on the East Coast. The rest of the nation is closer, with a four to ten percent difference. Obama's twenty percent lead in the East is tied to the public support of his relief efforts in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy.

A more surprising result of the poll is the approval for Obama's heavily contested Medicare plan. Half of the people polled viewed Obamacare favorably, while 49 percent believed that Romney is better suited to handle healthcare. Despite the opinion that Obama's performances during the debates were lacking, it would seem that he was able to successfully defend his healthcare policies.

For the Obama camp, the most troubling result of the poll is public perception of his foreign policies. While the majority of Americans agree that President Obama would "better handle" foreign affairs in comparison to Romney, his disapproval rating for his policies sits at 51 percent. His response to the attacks on the consulate in Benghazi continues to hurt his ratings.

Likely Voters' Approval of Barack Obama's Handling of Selected Issues

Governor Romney: 

Regardless of the criticism aimed at Obama and his inability to mitigate the unrest in Libya, Romney remains behind in his perceived ability to handle foreign affairs. Unsurprisingly, Romney is viewed as being better suited to successfully simulate the country's lack luster economic growth. With disapproval for Obama's economic management at 56 percent, Romney has successfully cultivated his image as an accomplished businessman. Faith in his ability to effectively handle taxes, the economy, and combat the federal budget deficit all surpass his political opponent.

IVP Donate

Romney holds his edge with 53 percent of American men, as well as with the white population, elder generations, and non-Catholic Christians. Romney's claims of bipartisanship while serving as the Massachusetts Governor has swung public opinion regarding his ability to work with both parties in Washington.

Comparison of the Candidates on Issues -- Based on Likely Voters

 

The End Result: 

The poll question that most mirrors how competitive this election has been is who Americans believe to be the stronger, more decisive leader. The poll found both of the mainstream presidential candidates to be tied at 48%.

 

You Might Also Like

Ballrooms, Ballots, and a Three-Way Fight for New York
Ballrooms, Ballots, and a Three-Way Fight for New York
The latest Independent Voter Podcast episode takes listeners through the messy intersections of politics, reform, and public perception. Chad and Cara open with the irony of partisan outrage over trivial issues like a White House ballroom while overlooking the deeper dysfunctions in our democracy. From California to Maine, they unpack how the very words on a ballot can tilt entire elections and how both major parties manipulate language and process to maintain power....
30 Oct, 2025
-
1 min read
California Prop 50 gets an F
Princeton Gerrymandering Project Gives California Prop 50 an 'F'
The special election for California Prop 50 wraps up November 4 and recent polling shows the odds strongly favor its passage. The measure suspends the state’s independent congressional map for a legislative gerrymander that Princeton grades as one of the worst in the nation....
30 Oct, 2025
-
3 min read
bucking party on gerrymandering
5 Politicians Bucking Their Party on Gerrymandering
Across the country, both parties are weighing whether to redraw congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Texas, California, Missouri, North Carolina, Utah, Indiana, Colorado, Illinois, and Virginia are all in various stages of the action. Here are five politicians who have declined to support redistricting efforts promoted by their own parties....
31 Oct, 2025
-
4 min read