President Obama Wins Florida with the Independent Vote
By Brenda Evans | 11/08/2012 | Elections 2012, Florida, President | 62 Comments
President Obama Campaigns In Florida. Photo: Chip Somodevilla
President Obama wins Florida with 49.9 percent of the popular vote, taking the state’s 29 electoral votes. The race was close, with only a 47,028 vote difference according to The Washington Post.
[Editor's Update: Click here to read why IVN called Florida for Obama]
Florida was the last state to be called, due in part to long lines at some polling locations and absentee ballots that needed to be counted in such a close race. According to Huffington Post, Miami-Dade Supervisor of Elections Penelope Townsley said the delay was due to “an extremely high volume of absentee ballots.” In some precincts voters were still casting ballots past midnight.
It’s possible that a large group of independent voters swung the state in Obama’s favor. The percentage of Republicans was equal to that of Democrats, putting the decision largely in the hands of independents. Obama also got a boost from the minority vote. According to CNN exit polls, an impressive 95 percent of African Americans chose Obama, along with 60 percent of Hispanics. Women, making up 55 percent of the voter population in Florida, also favored Obama.
The Interstate 4 Corridor had been a closely watched area for the election. Historically the candidate who takes the zone, which includes Tampa, takes the state. The I-4 Corridor generally divides the state with Republicans to the north and Democrats to the south. According to News Press, 3.6 million voters live in the cluster of counties, and nearly a million of them are registered as independents.
Political contributors on CNN’s election coverage discussed the possible negative effect Romney’s “self-deportation” comment made earlier in January had on Florida voters. While Romney revoked his former stance, the statement resonated with the large Hispanic population. According to Naples News, in the past six years, the number of registered Hispanic Democrats in Osceola County alone has grown by about 10,000, and Republicans have registered only 100.
Although Ohio gave Obama the election, Florida was a nail bitter for both campaigns. Obama outspent Romney in Florida by $22 million, but according to data compiled from The Washington Post by Dan Lipka, President Obama visited the state a total of 26 times while Romney made 38 stops. Florida made it to the top ten list of most visited states for both candidates. Both campaigns were smart to put their resources into Florida. Although it was an extremely close race, President Obama was re-elected without needing the state.





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62 Comments
Chad Peace
11.08.2012
@Chad_Peace
Neither campaign effectively talked to “independent,” although Obama did MUCH better than Romney. Largely, the rhetoric to appeal to independents was telling the electorate how bad the other guy would be. Independents are found all across the political spectrum, and I believe more than anything else it is authenticity that brings them together.
bob jackson
11.12.2012
@bobj72
“chad;” Are YOU attempting a ‘Cover-Up’ – NOT acknowledging the obvious; There is “consistently Logical linkage” between ‘Authenticity’ and favorable acceptance of a message? And conversely, the obvious “Negative Outcome,” from ‘Lies’ and ‘Consistent Irrational Misinformation’ being put-out by one party. …….
Jane Susskind
11.08.2012
@jsusskind
Exit polls showed that one of the main reasons Obama was able to slide by was because of the public perception of the economy – people felt generally good about the future of the economy but that’s not because of Obama. Mitt Romney did not effectively make his argument about the economy, and voters still blame Bush for the economic recession. He didn’t do much to appeal to the independent voter this election.
bob jackson
11.12.2012
@bobj72
“jane;” 61.7% of the Electoral Vote, “sliding by?” YOU’RE either on something, or YOU’RE still suffering from that “EPISTEMIC CLOSURE” syndrome. …….
Emma Goda
11.08.2012
@emmagoda
it interesting how Obama visited the state 26 times compared to 38 for Romney but still came out strong for Florida.
Alex Gauthier
11.08.2012
@alexg
nate silver batting 1.000
Simon Mayeski
11.08.2012
Not sure why the drama about the final FL vote tallies – CNN broke out the remaining counties to be counted on Election night about 8pm PST. There were two big Democratic areas, with percentages already counted quite small, while most of the state, including all the red counties were nearly complete. So remaining votes-to-be-counted would be mostly Democratic. Wasn’t a big gap, but a real one, and substantial enough put the state in Obama’s bucket.
Tim
11.08.2012
It is suggested that the source of this information is WaPo, but the page linked denies that Florida has been called.
Michael Higham
11.08.2012
@michaelhigham
Florida is always going to come down to the wire. I’d like to see a repeat of Bush v. Gore in 2000 for 2016, it’d be super exciting. I feel like Florida is ignored and their presidential votes become irrelevant.
HARJAP SINGH AUJLA
11.08.2012
Florida’s election was a real laughing stock of the world. How can such an antiquated election apparatus exist in the most advanced nation in the world?. How can the ballot be made so lengthy?. Why the number of early voting days was kept so low?.
Simon Mayeski
11.08.2012
The folks who run the Florida elections seemed to prefer that “certain people” – those who tend to vote for the “other party” and do so in person – found it as hard as possible to vote. Pretty simple, actually. Instead that difficulty pissed those people off and they STAYED in line, hence the midnight voting lines.
Alex De La Cruz
11.08.2012
Because they all wanted ‘stuff’ lol
Carrie LeAnne Mager
11.08.2012
And it’s another WIN for democracy and kick in the face to liars
Beverly Farmer Price
11.08.2012
So much for the myth that independent voters are all conservatives.
Yolanda
11.09.2012
I agree.
Tina L Huey-Day
11.08.2012
Obama won period because 40% didn’t vote because they did not like their choices bottom line!
LIberal Independent
11.08.2012
Yeah thats it…..
bob jackson
11.12.2012
@bobj72
“tina L h-d;” MATH would suggest the Majority of that 40% that “didn’t vote,” would have otherwise voted for Romley-Hood. (But shunned him.) If YOU wish to separate-out the demographics (Politically) it’s somewhat shocking, Obama garnered the majority of the Florida Cuban vote. …….
Robert Miller
11.08.2012
sure he did-who did the counting
Gerry Watts
11.08.2012
proud to be indepedent = great to be a native usa citain
Jessica Horman
11.08.2012
Not for me. Taking away peoples freedom and fighting wars no one agrees with is not a good way to win the votes of independents. I voted for Jill Stein and she wasnt even on my ballot. I let my vote not be counted rather than vote for any of those yahoo’s.
Nivek
11.10.2012
In your case, I would have fould it much easier or simpler (no effort) to have just stayed home. Trust me! You would have achieved the same result. Don’t you think?…
Tim Walter
11.08.2012
Im an independent conservative that defected from the GOP after Mitt’s powerplay at the RNC. As much as I dislike Obama, I would have voted for him over Romney if I had no other 3rd party choice mostly out of spite. The Republicans can not go forward with any hope of winning on the national stage if they allow the elitist to continue running the party and hoping we all “just fall in line”.
Joshua Snyder
11.08.2012
In large part because no one has ever pissed off and alienated the Independant voters more effectively than Romney and the GOP this election cycle.
Dan Amaro
11.08.2012
But they are Beverly, they just wouldn’t be brought dead in todays “conservative” tent.
Mark Good
11.08.2012
didn’t like either of them, that’s why I “wasted” my vote like most assholes thought…
Richard Boehme
11.08.2012
Dependent people voted for Mr Soetoro.
Mark Pfiester
11.08.2012
Proof that the programming of the machines work.
Kathie Heller
11.08.2012
We are not even done counting yet
3 days later
Tells us our vote doesn’t matter
And guess what the dumbos are running it
James Moore
11.08.2012
Keep looking the other way with us Indepenent’s and we will have move you to the side of the road… This country is moving forward and if you’re not on board, no matter what party you may belong too. You can catch the next coming bus/boat/train because this one has pulled out.. They slept on him in 2007 and we walked him inot the “White House!!” Women, young en older folk’s from times gone bye!!
Malaki Seku-Amen
11.08.2012
Independents who have they’re heads screwed on properly – can see Obama was the better choice. Even if you don’t agree with everything about Obama, you can see he’s demonstrably willing to compromise to solve problems.
LIberal Independent
11.08.2012
Someone put it nicely, he is a horrible democrat but a REALLY good progressive republican
Walt Bungard
11.08.2012
And, it took less than a month, with no help from the governor OR the Supreme Court! Your’re getting the hang of this Floree Duh! Um, kin Ah git a copy of yer new 12 page obstructionist novelette?
Malaki Seku-Amen
11.08.2012
**their**
Steve Erickson
11.08.2012
@ Mark. Thank you for this morning’s ROFL. There is proof of the GOP manipulating the voting machines in Ohio in 2004. Look it up. Where’s your proof? Oh btw? The president didn’t need Florida to win AND to Mitt I say you are mistaken. Paul Ryan was NOT the second best choice you ever made.
Jane Gilbert
11.08.2012
Does anyone else think the Republicans could have walked away with this election if they had put forth a nominee who didn’t have rightist views on social issues? I know s/he couldn’t have gotten the Rep. nomination without those conservative views, but that’s the irony of it all.
Joshua Snyder
11.08.2012
Ron Paul could have crushed Obama. That’s why they kept him out of the race. The “fight” between dems and reps is scripted. They had these results planned long ago, I think they are shocked that it even came as close as it did.
LIberal Independent
11.08.2012
how many drugs are you on?
bob jackson
11.12.2012
@bobj72
“josh;” I can certainly see why YOU’RE a “Ron Paul Fan!” …….
Randy Dedert
11.08.2012
They would have voted for Dr. Paul
Daniel Catapano
11.08.2012
Thought this asshat’s head would have exploded by now.
Peggy Crockett Darington
11.08.2012
Then why hasn’t he been compromising all along instead of issuing executives orders? He is a radical socialist.
LIberal Independent
11.08.2012
Do you even know what a socialist is or are you just using that as a slang term?
Also I havent seen republicans in the House compromise AT ALL. All I have heard from them over the past 4 years is how they want to block Obama and reject everything he does.
bob jackson
11.12.2012
@bobj72
“peggy;” YOU’RE the ‘Gray-Haired type,’ prone to arbitrairly Charging the Victim with the Crime! …….
Jane Gilbert
11.08.2012
I don’t think so. A lot of women esp. would automatically dismiss him because of his anti-Choice stance.
Alistair Fletcher
11.08.2012
@alistair_fletcher
Bush and Gore 2000 was the election that made Florida infamous for the chad ballot counting fiasco.
Twelve years on and the State of Florida still cannot count? Why?
We are now laughed at around the world with articles like this:
http://cakeetiquette.com/floridians-cant-count-queen-elizabeth-to-take-charge
Dennis Jacques
11.08.2012
Apparently Obama did; he promised everything to everyone. It is apparent that Romney did not; he let the party be sidetracked and held captive by fundy lug nuts….
Neither were anywhere NEAR espousing the combination that appeals to many Independents: Personal Freedom and Fiscal Restraint.
LIberal Independent
11.08.2012
Sadly those “fundy lug nuts” have taken over the GOP.
Chijioke Nduwuisi
11.08.2012
This question is pointless since what an “Independent Voter” wants is so subjective that there’s no real way to determine if either candidate did “what independents want.”
Beth Hopkins Acampora
11.08.2012
Obama did – typically an independent does like liars and flip floppers
Chijioke Nduwuisi
11.08.2012
First we have to determine what an independent voter actually is.
LIberal Independent
11.08.2012
Someone who doesnt identify with any party lol
Allan Carroll
11.08.2012
no
Lancaster Sr David
11.08.2012
It’s something how all prochoice got your chance. to prove them selves, Abortion the biggest hate crime ever, I lived through an attempted abortion in the 40s because Dr. death did not have the law or tools to help. My right hand is deformed because his tool to break the water sack touched my forming hand,( thank you father God for your interventiom Amen )
Angela Michelle Brown
11.08.2012
I am female and independent and Romney is a sexest pig!!
Matt Winkeljohn
11.08.2012
Absolutely NOT!
Angela Michelle Brown
11.08.2012
Yea we woman would not had a chance if Romney took office!!!
Dean Klein
11.08.2012
Swing voters annoy me, it seems like they care less about facts and more about who is “likable.” If you look at his record, Obama should not have even had a chance this election. Mitt Romney didn’t lose, America lost.
LIberal Independent
11.08.2012
I once felt this way back when I was a kid and when Bush had won twice but then I realized I was just mad because I didnt want Bush to have won….well quit your whining. Its funny though how you state swing voters dont view facts, since it was the GOP this year that couldnt seem to stop lying and I mean outright false statements. Enough to create all these jobs for fact checkers.
Dean Klein
11.08.2012
And I’m sick of this “war on women” BS. Romney wasn’t going to wage a war on women, he was going to wage a war on debt and unemployment. Great job drinking the liberal “we fight for social issues” koolaid
LIberal Independent
11.08.2012
There are far more issues than the economy and his plans for women who downright backwards.
Matthew Crockett
11.09.2012
I think the election was Romney’s to lose. He never presented a clear plan, he made more gaffes than any other candidate in history, and things he said kept on being proven wrong.