Latest Presidential Polls, Obama Leads in: OH, PA, FL, VA
By Matt Metzner | 10/31/2012 | Elections 2012, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, President | 38 Comments
Credit: Orlando Sentinel
Today Quinnipiac University released their latest presidential polls showing President Obama with a healthy five point lead in the critically important state of Ohio. President Obama also leads in polling in swing-states Florida and Virginia.
The Quinnipiac study finds the races in Florida and Virginia too close to call leading up to Election Day. The Mittmentum that carried the Romney campaign following the first presidential debate until now closed the gap in Florida and Virginia. The same momentum is not denting the presidential polling numbers in Ohio.
Explaining why the Quinnipiac poll did not include Pennsylvania, the director of the poll stated “we haven’t bothered with Pennsylvania in these last polls, it’s in the bag for Obama.”
Quinnipiac’s last presidential poll, held on October 16 showed that President Obama held a 4-point lead in Pennsylvania. Those numbers have gone unchanged. Mitt Romney did however close a 12-point lead in the state.
The current Ohio poll shows President Obama leading 50-45, which is unchanged since October 22. In Florida, President Obama leads 48-47, compared to his 53-44 lead on September 26, one week before the first debate. In Virginia, President Obama is polling 49-47, compared to a 51-46 lead on October 11.
As discussed previously on IVN, Ohio and Pennsylvania could be the road to re-election for President Obama regardless of Mitt Romney’s campaign efforts in the South.
Today Mitt Romney will be campaigning in the Keystone State, where obtaining the confidence of voters in the eastern portion of the state is critical if he hopes to prove Quinnipiac wrong. President Obama will appear in New Jersey to visit the storm-battered state.
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38 Comments
Alex Gauthier
10.31.2012
@alexg
this election will definitely come down to the wire
bob jackson
10.31.2012
@bobj72
alex, are you suggesting the “Coming Down To The Wire,” is gona’ be like Romley-Care “Etch-A-Sketching” – (“Shutting FEMA Down, TO; Sending it to the States, TO; ‘Better yet,’ Privatizing FEMA.) (sic) Journalists posed the question to Romley-Care all day yesterday; “Would you Shut Down FEMA, as you said you would during the Primary Election season?” But he REFUSED to answer the question, on several occasions. TO ….. NOW, 48 Hours After The Historically Destructively “SANDY” encroached on US soil, taking its’ toll on American citizens, Property and the Infrastructure, and Romley-Care NOW CLAIMS; “if elected President, I’ll see that FEMA is fully funded.” – A PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE? … WOW ! …….
Jane Susskind
10.31.2012
@jsusskind
i think it will come down to ohio
Blake
10.31.2012
I’m an independent and am curious as to why these polls are so dramatically different from one another??? I’ve read at least 12 articles today and none of which say the president is ahead in Florida or Virginia. Yes all say he is leading PA and OH but none which indicate that he leads in FLA or VA.
I guess what really frustrates me as an independent is this:
If I watch FOX News everything that is said is negative towards the democratic party and if I watch any of the others they praise the democratic party (and vice versa for the republicans)…What ever happened to reporting it the way it is and letting the american people make their own opinions based on real facts.
bob jackson
11.05.2012
@bobj72
Facts? ….. I’d ‘steer clear’ of “FOCKS Noose” – that’s the media [?] organization that “pressed a case through the courts,” resulting in a ruling In Their Favor; “ALLOWING FOX News THE RIGHT TO LIE in presenting their Newscasts!”
OBTW,
INDEPENDENT Voters…15%
Democratic Voters………48%
Republican Voters………37%
2012 Presidential Election (Assume)
INDEPENDENTS “Break” 80% GOP / 20% Dem.
FINAL 2012 VOTING RESULTS:
Democrats……….51.0% (Obama)
Republicans.…….49.0% (Romney)
http://www.newgeography.com
Blake Bunch
10.31.2012
@blakebunch
“Mittmentum” was a nice touch. Obama is leading the polls in some very crucial states, Ohio in particular.
bob jackson
10.31.2012
@bobj72
Blake, I will attempt to ‘shed some light on the crux of your query.’ 1.) FOCKS Noose “pressed a matter, legally … through the courts, and Won the case which Allows FOX News the legal right “to Lie as they present their accounts of “News Information.” 2.) “Citizens United” allows Donors to secretly contribute as much as they wish, to advertise (generally negative of the opposition) so long as they have not “direct association” with their candidates formal campaign. 3.) This is the means by which wealthy donors could effect the outcome of an election. There are two (2) Billionaire Romney supporters The KOCH BROTHERS AND SHELDON ADELSON who have publicly committed to contribute HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS OF DOLLARS to Defeat President Obama. Each of these two (2) entities have Personal/Business Interests which some of the Obama Administration’s Reforms/Regulations (financial, Environmental, Healthcare and and Taxing) would negatively impact them.
As regards the polls, there a nearly 50 Republican Billionaires supporting Romney, and maybe 27 Supporting Obama. (The total dollars being spent for this election, will probably challenge 3 Billion Dollar$.) And with that much money “floating around,” what’s the probability of some of the Polling Agencies “Being Paid To Play?” …….
DeeDee Blase
11.01.2012
as an independent voter, i support Obama for President. CC: Isabel Framer Shirl Mora James
Keith Baker
11.01.2012
Just wait another day or two when the president’s handling of the Sandy disaster kicks in.
Shannon McCown
11.01.2012
Only one poll, Gallup, shows EV favoring Romney. All others show PBO.
Shannon McCown
11.01.2012
And incidentally Gallup was also the poll that had Romney by like 7 points ahead when no one else did. Sorry but Gallup is clearly an outlier.
Donna Bassett Bowman
11.01.2012
With all the voter fraud going on in Ohio I believe it.
bob jackson
10.31.2012
@bobj72
Would you be kind enough to provide a reliable source for your proclamation? …….
Anthony A Barker
11.01.2012
Yeah, this whole election is a charade. No matter who wins America will lose.
Patrick Stuff Gossett
11.01.2012
LOL..The polls you claim have Obama up by 5 over sampled Democrats by +9..There is No way that Democrats will come even close to 08 Sampling .When you come to reality Romney is up 1 and 2 just like the most accurate poll in the last two elections Rasmussen has it now.Gallup also has Romney up.Again far more accurate than the polls cited. In Ohio Obama early voting is down 70% from 08..
Ill put my rep up right now.Romney 53% Obama 47% electorate 320+ Ohio,Virginia,Florida,N.C,Wisconsin,Missouri all go Romney ..Thats based on actual real numbers and early vote turn out wich is down greatly across the board for Dems.
bob jackson
10.31.2012
@bobj72
Your rationale is suspect, and I think you’re a dreamer. But it’s “Each Man To His Own Madness!” …….
bob jackson
11.01.2012
@bobj72
patrick, in ref. to your “high hopes,” using > rasmussen rasmussen rush limpbaugh, or the late breitbart < as honorable, ethical, and professional sources. …….
bob jackson
11.01.2012
@bobj72
The system altered my comment. * patrick, in ref. to your “high hopes,” Good Luck using > rasmussen rush limpbaugh, or the late breitbart < as honorable, ethical, and professional "proof sources." …….
Roger Winkler
11.01.2012
Only poll that matters is the one next Tuesday. The rest is conversation for the bored, and for the media calculating how their slanted coverage is succeeding or failing.
Craig Sechrist
11.01.2012
Sadly. I don’t trust IVN. You share skewed information. I voted. I’m good. Go vote fellow citizens!!!! Plus I hate this undue influence of GOP, Tea bagged trolls more than words can express.
Jeremy Amundsen
11.01.2012
Obama will WIN! He is up by 6% in WI right now.
Luke Enoch
11.01.2012
I get to see Ohio commercials since I live right next to Ohio. Romney’s commercials are utterly pathetic. I don’t want either of them to win, but no one is being swayed by his ‘I love coal’ commercials, or the one with elderly people talking about how Mitt gave a eulogy for a 14yo boy.
Jacqueline King Romo
11.01.2012
Finally an honest report of the facts and the President’s popularity, thank you :-D. Praise to Canada for banning Fox biased news…
Too bad people in our country don’t change the channel and educate themselves.
Marshall Cash Sr.
11.01.2012
Here we go again. More Obama polls trying to scare folks into not voting. Lies. Look at Gallup and Rasmussen !!! Romney is leading and still has the momentum. Be sure to vote Romney!
Holly Stowe
11.01.2012
I’ve read exactly the opposite, that early voters are favoring Obama but voters over all are favoring Romney. Which is it?
Joe Gilmore
11.01.2012
Tell you next Wed!
Kendall J. Banks
11.01.2012
America is in trouble regardless which of these people win
Valerie Taylor
11.01.2012
None of the polls matter. American voting is the government’s way to pacify our need to feel like we’re actually in control. They’ll keep saying the votes are close, that it’s a dead heat, no matter what the totals actually are. They put whatever puppet they want into office and we feel accomplished because we chose a name.
Jerry Michael Mcneely
11.01.2012
I never listen to any but Rassmussin.
bob jackson
11.01.2012
@bobj72
A mature, intelligent and serious adult would do very THOROUGH Research on ANY ENTITY they would be committing their TRUST to. Oh, and you may want to clarify HOW Rasmussen Polling ONLY “Polls Likely Voters?” How does a pollster accomplish that? Or does that processing allow the pollster “to pick-and-choose” which polling data they decide to use? …….
Akilano Akiwumi-Assani
11.01.2012
Facts: Obama targeted and assasinated an innocent 16yr old american boy. Bush negotiated the stuatus of forces agreement in Iraq for ’11.
1. Capital strikes (investment/hiring freezes, price gouging, wage and benefit cuts), legislative obstruction (impeachment of Clinton), bigotry and obscurantism, vote suppression (2000 election), insurrectionist appeals to security apparatus – the Republican agenda – the REAL terrorist threat.
2. Collaboration with and capitulation to Republicans when in opposition, continuation of Republican agenda and cooptation of liberals/marginalization of progressives when in power – the Democratic agenda – the REAL obstacle to ‘hope and change’
3. Libertarian objections to the ‘war on terror’ and ‘war on drugs’ are grounded in a desire to see the security apparatus privatized, rather than morality: to attacks on civil liberties, a desire to defend unconditional access to narcotics, assault weapons and vaginas, to unlimited disparaging, obscene, incendiary and threatening treatment of those lacking the power or opportunity to defend themselves; to ‘corporate welfare’ a desire for mass unemployment and retirement/health care cuts resulting from ‘creative destruction’ of market and union busting; to ‘faith, family and fatherland’, the desire to banish ‘collectivist thinking’ – care-taking, charity, and criticism of money economy – rather than principled objection to bigotry and obscurantism. Johnson’s bleating about inflation/debt/monetary collapse, and flat consumption tax proposals are more for defending the IOU holders than pensioners, and making the 99% pay for infrastructure and services, rather than the 1% out of their $103 TRILLION in net worth. $21-$32 TRILLION is in offshore deposits.
4.Wall St Bailout: $20 TRILLION, ‘war on terror’:$4-5 TRILLION, Bush tax cuts: $2.5 TRILLION.
5. Business tax cuts/tax breaks/subsidies go to management raises/bonuses, dividends, stock buybacks, mergers and acquisitions. 40% of the ‘stimulus’ consisted of this.
6. Cost of US educational system from pre-k to post grad – $15-30 billion. Which is less than the collections overhead alone on the $1 trillion in post-secondary educational debt.
7. The ‘individual mandate’ in the health care bill came from the conservative Heritage Foundation 20 years ago. Passage of the preexisting conditions discrimination ban/extension of coverage age for dependents to 26, did not require 2 yrs of wrangling and grandstanding.
8. The inflation adjusted minimum wage retroactive to ’68 is $10.55/hr. The ‘working poverty’ threshold is $11.15/hr. The median wage of american workers in $16.37/hr. The average wage, also equal to what the minimum wage would be if increased at rate of management compensation since 1990, is $23/hr. But the vast majority of new jobs pay between $9-$13/hr. And the national minimum wage is still only $7.25/hr.
9. The unemployment rate is deflated by counting prisoners and GI’s as part of the civilian workforce. Only people without jobs who are eleigible for unemployment insurance are counted in unemployment statistics.
10. The US government as a whole, and the Pentagon in particular, is the largest civilian employer.
11. The top 20% of the population has 85% of america’s net worth (debt-to-income ratio and assets). The next 20% has 10% of america’s net worth, and the bottom 60% has 5% of america’s net worth.
Judy Ferro
11.01.2012
Are they getting early voting figures from exit polls? They aren’t counting ballots yet, are they?
Holly Stowe
11.01.2012
Jacqueline King Romo: silly girl, Fox News hasn’t been banned in Canada. That you fell for that silly story explains why you still support Obama and his failed policies and his Stalinist platform. Too bad you don’t open up your mind and consider that there is always another side to the story. Funny too how only Fox News broke the Benghazi story on the White House e-mail timeline and the ACORN fraud as well. But YOU wouldn’t know anything about that sort of thing, now would you?! And how about Michelle Obama’s patient dumping scheme she came up with while working at the University of Chicago Medical Center; seems the good care of that institution was “too good” for the poor and uninsured. What? Michelle Obama wouldn’t do that sort of thing? Oh, yes she would and yes she did. And Obama lies…you know all about the lies he’s told on the campaign trail too…right? Even his buddy David Letterman finally had to point out that Obama has LIED about the Romney plan for GM and Chrysler. What else has Obama lied about? Haha…how much time do you have? (Reality is he’s lied a lot and you have your head in the sand as you watch the media that simply cheerleads your favorite candidate instead of just reporting the actual news.)
Leo Zicc
11.01.2012
i live in ohio. nobody i know has ever been polled, ever. of course we all have jobs……
Luke Enoch
11.01.2012
Holly, here is Romney’s stance on the US auto industry- http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/19/opinion/19romney.html?_r=0
Margaret Bell
11.01.2012
Love your post Holly Stowe. Facts and that is something liberals can not handle. Obama and his news reporters are all liars…..
JoAnne French
11.01.2012
Not anymore as of tonight, even thou Dems usually win Ohio
Rustin Sparks
11.01.2012
BRONCO BAMA!!1!