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Despite media claims, the numbers reveal Ron Paul is electable

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Credit: Gage Skidmore

It has nearly become a journalistic convention to editorialize alongside any reference to Texas congressman Ron Paul that the 2012 presidential candidate is considered by many to be unelectable. Or, that other than some interesting points of view and a curiously energized following, Ron Paul’s presidential candidacy is unserious, that the Republican Party’s constitutionalist– as Mitt Romney recently called Paul in a debate— has no viable path to the White House.

Just last month for example, iconic conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh made an appearance on Fox News Channel‘s On The Record with Greta van Sustren and said, “I think right now anybody other than Ron Paul could beat Obama if the election were tomorrow.” But this claim isn’t just being repeated by talk radio hosts who stand opposite of Ron Paul in the Republican Party’s internecine battle over principles and policy, it’s being repeated by presumably objective news anchors and writers– it’s showing up as a random aside in Associated Press reports, whose authors can’t seem to bear mentioning Ron Paul’s name without editorializing that the presidential hopeful is “often dismissed as unelectable by members of his own party.”

But is Ron Paul actually unelectable? Do the facts support that claim? Whether you agree with Ron Paul’s political views or not, whether you think he should be the Republican Party’s nominee or not, his actual electability as a presidential candidate is an entirely separate question– one that can be answered by investigating the facts instead of merely repeating the same opinion ad nauseam and hoping it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy, as the status quo‘s cheerleaders in the media have seemingly been doing.

As is consistently attested by poll results and even the Republican Party’s most recent primary votes in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, the facts are these: Ron Paul performs better among independents than any other Republican candidate for the presidential nomination. He also performs better among young voters under 30 than any other Republican. Ron Paul also outperforms any of the remaining Republican candidates among Democrats, liberals, moderates, and low-income voters.

Independents, people under 30, liberals, moderates, and low income voters are all key constituencies that helped Obama win his primary and the general election in 2008. It only stands to reason that the candidate with the broadest appeal to Obama’s key voters and the greatest chance of swaying their votes is the most electable candidate. Even former Florida Governor Jeb Bush realizes that the Republicans can only win the general election with a candidate who appeals to independents, which is why he recently admonished the GOP’s candidates, saying “You have to maintain your principles but have a broader appeal.”

Maintain principles while having a broader appeal? Even Ron Paul’s critics will concede that he is extremely principled. The facts, meanwhile, show that Ron Paul also has the broadest appeal to voters. That’s why it’s no surprise that Paul runs neck-and-neck with Mitt Romney and Barack Obama in hypothetical general election match ups according to the polls, another fact that disproves the constantly-repeated claim that Ron Paul is not electable. The polls show that in fact, Ron Paul is more electable than any other Republican candidate except for Mitt Romney, with whom he is tied– and both are tied against President Obama.

It’s one thing to offer substantive criticisms of Ron Paul’s candidacy and beliefs, but it’s another thing entirely to mislead voters into thinking that his chances of winning are much worse than the facts actually indicate they are. It’s up to the media to inform voters, not pick the nominee for them. The media owes Ron Paul, but more importantly, owes its audience a less misleading assessment of Ron Paul’s electability. Members of the media should set the record straight. Because of his strong appeal to independents, moderates, young voters, and low income voters, Ron Paul does as well or better than any other Republican candidate in a general election match up with President Obama. Those are facts. Like him or not, Ron Paul’s electable.

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55 comments
Doctor
Doctor

FUCKKK RON PAUL! - manila, philippines

Ralyn43
Ralyn43

Go

Ron Paul. Heard him speak yesterday at the Colorado Springs Jet Center.

What a man. This guy would make one of our finest Presidents. Now, if

all the people who say that they will not vote for him only because he

does not stand a chance.......that would be enough folks to make him our

highest representative. So, vote for him.

Thomas Gambon
Thomas Gambon

It doesn't help Ron Paul's cause any that Mitt Romney's Bain Capital owns Clear Channel Broadcasting. The largest owner of radio stations in the country as well as other media outlets. There used to be a thing called anti-trust laws on the books years ago. Remember the AT&T breakup over it? Well now-a-days we have only 4 organizations that CONTROL ALL THE MEDIA. So you get what we have today, news (HA) brought to you by MSM (Manipulated Sorry Morons). We're all going to hell in a handbasket as my grandma used to say, and picking up speed on our downward journey. UNLESS, we vote Ron Paul into office, we're all doomed...

Tony
Tony

Ron Paul is the only Candidate for president as far as I see it. The rest of these stooges do not have the support of the public, they have support of dollar bills and corrupt private interests. And yes that includes the obamanation. 

Zuzana Dratovnikova Livingston
Zuzana Dratovnikova Livingston

it is Gingrich who is not electable since he failed to satisfy the ballot requirements in few states. Ron Paul is the surgical cut that America needs to survive this cancer of corruption, nepotism and infiltration, and Constitution trashing.

Howard Gardella
Howard Gardella

Just keep speaking the Truth fearlessly for this terrorizes the deceiver.

 

Mark Langager
Mark Langager

On RP's electability, the two main contributions of this article are that it clarified a MSM tendency to falsely dismiss it (although the MSM's motivation for blackout is an entirely new and interesting topic to investigate), and it listed important demographic reasons other than caucus and primary results to take RP very seriously. The one electability issue I continue to fear is his previous oversight of a newsletter that made off-color comments about certain groups of people in our society--counter to the cause of the liberty being espoused. The way I resolve that issue personally is to realize 40 years is a long time to be in politics and adult development is not linear, so why should I expect RP to be a cookie-cut perfect model candidate throughout his adult years? That works for me, but whether it will work for an MSM-manipulated citizenry remains a serious consideration. My hope for a RP victory lies squarely attached to the very things that make me love being American, but this is one point that makes me feel humble toward friends and family who oppose Ron Paul.

Mark Langager
Mark Langager

On RP's electability, the two main contributions of this article are that it clarified a MSM tendency to falsely dismiss it (although the MSM's motivation for blackout is an entirely new and interesting topic to investigate), and it listed important demographic reasons other than caucus and primary results to take RP very seriously. The one electability issue I continue to fear is his previous oversight of a newsletter that made off-color comments about certain groups of people in our society--counter to the cause of the liberty being espoused. The way I resolve that issue personally is to realize 40 years is a long time to be in politics and adult development is not linear, so why should I expect RP to be a cookie-cut perfect model candidate throughout his adult years? That works for me, but whether it will work for an MSM-manipulated citizenry remains a serious consideration. My hope for a RP victory lies squarely attached to the very things that make me love being American, but this is one point that makes me feel humble toward friends and family who oppose Ron Paul.

Crabacado
Crabacado

What a fair article. Good on you.

xRedfoxx
xRedfoxx

Here is a link to the Conservative Scorecard that is an easy-to-read rating of the GOP candidates on conservative issues.  Ron Paul ranks very high!!

http://www.conservativescorecard.com/

I think it’s time we unite behind him and we take Obama down!!

anon
anon

Imagine how well he'd match up if the media weren't smearing him every chance they got!

Mrpom
Mrpom

What makes me crazy (not just supporting Ron Paul) is people acknowledge he has consistent principals, a true idea to fix current problems, but then in a truely crazy disjointed way say he is crazy, not electable, blah blah blah. I don't get it. By the way voice of reason, if Dr. Paul would even allow a statue to be built it would be from private donations.

Mike
Mike

I was expecting you to post the survey results that show each of the candidates vs obama. That would have been much more useful than what you posted. Paul and Romney are the only ones within the margin of error of beating Obama, the other two lose miserably (gingrich by ~20%).

That is the statistic that Paul should be focusing on.

Heidi
Heidi

If it was between Paul and Obama, you'd vote third party? That's interesting, which one? If you think there are enough voters like you who are anti-Paul AND willing to vote on principle over voting for the perceived lesser of two evils to tilt the election to Obama, we're looking at different voting populations. There are not that many Romney, Gingrich, or Santorum supporters who would consider NOT voting for the main opponent to Obama.

Sonya Mendoza
Sonya Mendoza

Although I don't identify with any particular political party, I feel that from all the Republican candidates Ron Paul is the best choice

Trevor Wood
Trevor Wood

I shared this article on my Facebook page and this is what I posted as a comment:

"If you don't believe in the 'electability' of Ron Paul, please check one's bias at the door then read this article. Despite popular belief, the numbers (when considered past the top layer) is quite shocking. Stop believing the mass media junket and read for yourself.

Much regards!"

Hopefully folks will begin to see what and who Ron Paul really is, stop listening to the misleading talking-heads on TV, and take their hearts and minds to the polls from now through November.

Trevor Wood
Trevor Wood

I shared this article on my Facebook page and this is what I posted as a comment:

"If you don't believe in the 'electability' of Ron Paul, please check one's bias at the door then read this article. Despite popular belief, the numbers (when considered past the top layer) is quite shocking. Stop believing the mass media junket and read for yourself.

Much regards!"

Hopefully folks will begin to see what and who Ron Paul really is, stop listening to the misleading talking-heads on TV, and take their hearts and minds to the polls from now through November.

Trevor Wood
Trevor Wood

I shared this article on my Facebook page and this is what I posted as a comment:

"If you don't believe in the 'electability' of Ron Paul, please check one's bias at the door then read this article. Despite popular belief, the numbers (when considered past the top layer) is quite shocking. Stop believing the mass media junket and read for yourself.Much regards!"

Hopefully folks will begin to see what and who Ron Paul really is, stop listening to the misleading talking-heads on tv, and take their hearts and minds to the polls from now through November.

Duncan Webb
Duncan Webb

No thanks, I`ll pass on ALL of them! The American people are gonna lose whether the commucrat Obama is reelected or one of the talibanicans manages to beat him.

Mike Pincher
Mike Pincher

I think Paul could win handily--but as a third party candidate. The mainstream GOP won't let him get the nomination.

James M. Harmon
James M. Harmon

Libertarian economics has no chance of working, and has been tried in the past, and each time it was tried, disaster ensued. Things are bad. With Paul, they'd get worse.

Tiny Leo Merr
Tiny Leo Merr

Woohoo!!! Go Ron Paul. Everyone should listen to his ideals. He tells it like it is and is for the Constitution and human liberty and rights. Vote Ron Paul 2012.

Hayden Carter
Hayden Carter

Hell yes he is electable. The MSM pumps out raw sewage as if it was the truth. It's time for a real change! We can do it you guys! Ron Paul 2012!

Bjask
Bjask

very interesting! I feel like the media really covers these facts up!

Shark Man
Shark Man

Not only is he electable... but he is the only sane choice.

Shark Man
Shark Man

Not only is he electable... but he's the only sane choice.

America deserves a good man like Dr. Paul.

Mike Grueninger
Mike Grueninger

As proof that the election is being manipulated, recall the switching of 20 votes in a key precinct in Iowa to give the appearance that Romney, not Santorum, won the primary there. Two weeks later, ONLY after an observer of the polling results made enough noise to be noticed, the votes were switched back, but in those two weeks, Romney made a ton of PAC money, and presumably, Santorum lost funds. I'm not for Santorum, but something stinks. Ron Paul, we need you!

Mahmoud A
Mahmoud A

I have to erase this page from my history after I type this as if I am looking at dirty illegal stuff because big brother hates these kind of bad thoughts. Thanks for sharing the truth!

Guest
Guest

What I want to know is when did media's role go from giving people the facts of an event to giving people their opinion of the facts of the event. Further, when did American citizens stop realizing they are not being told the whole story on issues all over the board?  Why did it take young and ridiculously rich internet tycoons to raise awareness of SOPA? Why did I find the article on the fine print of the National Defense Act (detaining indefinitely of American citizens without due process) on page 11b of my newspaper and not on the front page.

People turn the propaganda off and look outside our country or to private internet companies for what the real story is.

Tim
Tim

Cannot read this... MUST obey mainstream media... talking heads can't be wrong... I'm so confused now...

Jordan
Jordan

FINALLY, somebody states FACTS rather than spewing pro-establishment propaganda...

Generalmaximus5302
Generalmaximus5302

This is quite possibly one of the best written political articles I have ever read. I work at a journalism school and it is very difficult to teach my students to think objectively when all they see is corporate media constantly giving their opinion instead of reporting the facts. I have a very close family friend that is a very intelligent man who has three masters degrees and is extremely well read. He has such a distaste for technology and has no interest in the Internet. The other I asked him his opinion on Ron Paul and he said that RP has no shot at beating Obama. I told him he should do some research on the Internet instead of watching CNN or msnbc. Anyway, great article.

Cassie
Cassie

Thanks for the fair reporting of news. I hope many that are on the fence regarding Paul's electability read this.

fntsmk
fntsmk

Why do you think the Gov't wants SOPA so badly?  Under the guise of "protecting the public," Gov't tries to convince us that they need an Internet "Kill Switch" to stop online Piracy.  Yeah...., right.  So take advantage of the for now "free Internet," 'cause it won't be available to the public in the near future, if Ron Paul is not America's next President.

fntsmk
fntsmk

Problem is mate, half of the American voting population owns or is employed by the "power structure."  It will be hard to convince someone who is afaid to lose their "Gov't sponsored" job to vote for prinicple over status quo, but us Paul supporters aren't going to give up.  Cheers and Ron Paul in 2012!

Sonbeams
Sonbeams

Here are ten questions any citizen of the United Sates MUST ask every candidate for the office of President in order to determine their electability i.e. deserving of THEIR vote:

1. BY HIS ACTIONS Who is most committed to follow and lead by the U.S. Constitution?

2. BY HIS ACTIONS Who has the greatest leadership ability to rally, unify and mobilise citizens across political and societal spectrums?

3. BY HIS ACTIONS Who has the best working comprehension of America?

4. BY HIS ACTIONS Who has the best ability to influence a volatile world away from its brink of destruction?

5. BY HIS ACTIONS Who has clear and present moral fortitude?

6. BY HIS ACTIONS Who can best beat President Barack Obama (in and outside of debates)?

7. BY HIS ACTIONS Who has the best abilities to lead Washington politics and politicians?

8. BY HIS ACTIONS Who has the best plan and leadership ability to restore America’s economy?

9. BY HIS ACTIONS Who is the most fiscally prudent?

10.BY HIS ACTIONS Who has demonstrated the highest regard for human life?

fntsmk
fntsmk

Please visit and pass along: kookyronpaul d o t  c o m.  This not-for-profit, Pro-Paul site with a "twist" has some great videos, articles, and info beneficial to all, regardless of political affiliation.  Peace and Ron Paul in 2012!

Voice of Reason
Voice of Reason

Somebody pinch me.  Did I just read a truthful article about Ron Paul?  I think it's the only one that didn't say either "Ron Paul can't win" or "Ron Paul is crazy".  Thank you for an objective article.  It's so nice to read one after almost every single one of them is packed with lies.  If any other candidate had won nearly every online poll, nearly every straw poll, had the overwhelming support of the military, was the only person that people actually switched parties to vote for, and inspired so many to give so freely toward the cause of liberty they would be heralded as the obvious front-runner and hoisted up as the party's standard-bearer.  The man is a doctor, veteran, #1 NY Times best-selling author, has never flip-flopped on anything, started the tea party, (arguably) started the Occupy movement, and has the single most conservative voting record in the last 100 years in the Congress.  You couldn't paint a more perfect candidate and the party has completely ostracized him in favor of a pack of self-righteous, statist, hypocrites.  When it's all said and done, there will be a big statue of Ron Paul in Washington, paid for by the people.  The other candidates will be forgotten.

TnMuse
TnMuse

I'm afraid if you were to research any of the big media and the majority of our representatives in government you would find a network of people who are not only influenced by corporate America, but ARE corporate America. 

That means the crazy voting we see such as NDAA, the over spending, the wars etc. are all intertwined and the common thread is money.  

Romney said, corporations are people...and he's right because there are people behind them controlling everything in our lives in order to go after the almighty dollar.  There are probably many of them (especially true journalists)  who despise this control but their livelyhood depends on their cooperation with the status quo.

Working as a team, we average citizens can fight this.  Proof is the growth of the Ron Paul supporters.  We just have to wake up the rest of America and that is going to take word-of-mouth because we sure won't get corporate America to give us space in their media.

TnMuse
TnMuse

To me this is a non-issue.  If you look at the multitude of things Ron Paul has said and written, you know immediately he did not write this stuff.  The tone and manner of speaking is totally NOT Ron Paul.  Also, his deeds all of his life show a man with great concern for his fellow man regardless of their origins or color of their skin, and a man with great integrity who is respected.   Ron Paul admits he did not give these newsletters the attention he should have at the time, and for that he takes responsibility.  The people who should be most put off by this would be black people...but they are not...it is only the political trash-diggers who make something of it. 

Watch these two youtube's and you will see what I mean:

 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mxfxCpt8mtY&list=UUB49DHcgCfByQd_O5SjDebg&index=2&feature=plcp

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b-aPeJYB4io

Ron Paul is the real deal.

Pamela
Pamela

I will not vote for a marginal republican. The "moderates" are just as hopeless as Obama, but worse because they give conservatism a bad name.  Republican voters have to stop compromising at the polls now.  A progressive republican won't help preserve our fragile system anyway.  Ron Paul is electable if we all come to our senses and vote for him.  Our freedom is in danger.  "Give me liberty, or give me death!"  Patrick Henry 1775

Adam_Gomez1987
Adam_Gomez1987

You be surprise, I look up academic journals in college and they give the same type of negative reaction of Ron Paul as well.

kyle davis
kyle davis

This is a big factor. The number one supporter of both Romney, and Obama is Goldman Sachs, and the other big institutions follow suite. What people have to remember is Corporations, are not people, and after they have used us, and our money they can take there top ceo's, and all our money, and leave to another country, and this is exactly what they will do when the economy collapses. Example is Romney's taxes What countries does he keep his money, and invest? The media is protecting him, by saying it is the percentage of tax we should be worried about. Media lies, and propaganda. I really believe Romney has been paid only to block all other candidates, just so Obama gets elected again. Yet he is starting to screw up.

Sonbeams
Sonbeams

Surprisingly there are many Federal Government workers and teachers who will vote for Ron Paul.  This is true even in those departments he has promised to cut.  Not all bureaucrats are unthinking drones.

Of course he has said that he will reduce staffing by 10% but by a process of attrition rather than firing so for those who understand his positions he is not the threat that his enemies make him out to be. 

This is similar to the Social Security and Medicare/Medicaid canard they spread about him to scare the senior citizens.  He is in fact the only candidate who will protect these programmes which will inevitably collapse if the present course is maintained.

Sean Laney
Sean Laney

"(arguably) started the Occupy movement"

Don't let's be silly. He arguably started the *grassroots* Tea Party movement, which was quickly co-opted and astroturfed by the plutocrats. He *is* the only candidate that supports what Occupy is doing, and who recognizes the importance of civil disobedience. He even supports jury nullification as a check on government power by common citizens.

Freedom_Lover
Freedom_Lover

This is a gret article and it's always good to see that people are listening and understanding what Ron Paul is saying and know that he is the only candidate that truly cares about America and the people.  What is scary to me, and I hope is not really true, is that I just read that Obama's State of the Union address poll said that 60% of the people thought he should/would be re-elected - what a scary thought.