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Ever since the Chicago Daily Tribune's iconic blunder of projecting Thomas Dewey as the victor in the 1948 election, polling has evolved into a more precise science, one so accurate that scoffers and critics began to argue that the media was swaying public opinion through polls. Exit polling has always been crucial, especially during the days of newspapers with deadlines to meet, for the media to be able to project winners in a timely manner. But something has changed, and voters and viewers h

March 9th update: Donald Trump finished first in the Michigan primary, where candidates' percentages closely tracked the Monmouth poll -- Trump earning 37% of the Republican primary vote, Ted Cruz 25%, John Kasich 24% and a fading Marco Rubio with 9%. Yet, consistent with Monmouth's head-to-head polling, a CBS News exit survey showed that Cruz would have edged Trump head-to-head. (Trump leads Rubio, and there was no query about Trump vs. Kasich). ABC news exit polls had similar findings, and fou

Current primary results have reportedly led GOP leaders to consider a contested convention if Donald Trump falls short of the 1,237 delegates needed to qualify for the nomination. According to a report from the Washington Post, recent gatherings of the Republican Governors Association and various conservative financiers have led to the “consensus that Trump is vulnerable and that a continued blitz of attacks could puncture the billionaire mogul’s support and leave him limping onto the conventio

Following the weekend's primaries and the upcoming votes on Tuesday, many eyes remain fixed on a presidential candidate who has been highly touted, but has delivered few victories, leading to concerns about his campaign's viability. Florida U.S. Senator Marco Rubio, a candidate lauded as the future of the Republican Party, has failed to break through in this election cycle. As more critical elections approach, the senator could be left questioning the justification for his campaign. On Super T

If the 2016 presidential election is proving anything, it’s that voters are not happy with the state of their union. On the left and right, we’re seeing insurgents give establishment candidates a run for their money. Democrats are breaking from former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton for Sen. Bernie Sanders (Vermont), a longtime independent and self-declared democratic socialist. Republicans are meanwhile finding it difficult to prevent real-estate billionaire Donald Trump from locking up th

NPR and other media outlets have aired interviews with Iowans on why Iowa always gets to go first. Who goes second gets far less coverage, but the same logic presumably applies. If what some Iowans say is representative of at least half of its residents, most are an arrogant bunch. More disturbingly but not surprisingly, Iowans are not logical. The Iowa is Best 'Rationale' Like most empty political rhetoric, there is usually a big disconnect between rhetoric and the real world. The rational f

WDAM 7, a local station in southern Mississippi, reported on a new initiative Wednesday that would revamp the state's primary system. Initiative 57 seems to support a nonpartisan blanket primary, though the initiative simply refers to it as an "open primary," and the language isn't entirely clear. The text of the initiative partly reads: "Each ballot will have a list of Republican, Democrat, and Independent [Candidates] for each office. After the votes have been casted then the top Republican,

In recent news, Ohio state officials told Democratic presidential candidate Martin O’Malley that he could not be on the Democratic primary ballot. The petition to be on the ballot required 1,000 valid signatures from a single county. O’Malley submitted 1,175, but only 772 were considered valid. Both of his fellow Democratic presidential candidates, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, are on the ballot. Presidential primaries are often reserved only for partisan candidates, but that does not nec

The spirit of America is strong; the state of our union is fragile. That is my conclusion after 100 days driving 14,128 miles through 34 states as an independent candidate for President of the United States. I met with over 1,000 people individually and in small groups. I mostly stayed away from big cities and college campuses. I had learned on two short campaign trips before this long one that very few Americans understand there are independent candidates running for office so I got in the ha

The latest headlines on nonpartisan voting rights are from Mississippi, Florida, Oklahoma, and California. Enjoy. Petitioning for a jungle primary Source: Mark Lane, Daytona Beach News-Journal A piece outlining the proposal in Florida for a top-two nonpartisan primary with numbers underscoring the need for opening primaries to independent voters. My Take: For those open to the concept, a stronger, more direct case can’t be made. Lane notes that in Florida over the last ten years, while Demo