Quick Take: 2018 Saw The Highest Midterm Turnout Since Universal Suffrage

image
Fair VoteFair Vote
Published: 03 Dec, 2018
2 min read

The 2018 midterms saw the highest turnout in a non-presidential national election since universal suffrage. This historic high stands in stark contrast to the 2014 midterms which saw the lowest turnout since 1946. This begs the question: is this a one-off spike in interest, or a sign of the future trajectory for U.S. elections?

A number of factors probably contributed to the high turnout in 2018, but the most important is the remarkable levels of interest in politics Americans are currently displaying.

Special elections this year saw Democrats thriving in even the lowest turnout races due to a significant enthusiasm gap between Democratic and Republican voters - a typical dynamic between voters for the party in power and those whose party is out of power. The presidential administration and Republican congressional leadership led an unprecedented turnout operation this cycle, leveraging high levels of media attention to boost relevance of the midterm to voters, and leading to the highest midterm vote totals ever for congressional Republicans: 50 million.

Unfortunately, their campaign also boosted the importance of the election for Democrats as well, leading to a Democrat vote total of over 60 million, and climbing.

At the state level, these gains appeared across the board, but were most concentrated in states that typically experience low to mid-level turnout. Only two states, Louisiana and Alaska, saw turnout decline, and by less than 1 percent in each state.

Not every midterm can feature an administration this good at making headlines, nor is every administration interested in running a long and forceful campaign during the most important period of policymaking for new presidents.

However, the passage of a number of ballot initiatives this year, such as same day registration in Maryland and felon re-enfranchisement in Florida, as well as signs that the new Congress plans to make voting rights a priority, point to upward momentum for turnout compared to the post-1970 baseline.

Editor's Note: This "quick take" originally published on FairVote's website, and has been modified slightly for publication on IVN.

Photo Credit: byktzgl / shutterstock.com

IVP Donate

You Might Also Like

Ethan Penner
Could This Well-Funded Independent Upend the CA Governor’s Race?
Ethan Penner, a Calabasas businessman, author, and educator with a storied career in real estate finance, has officially announced his intention to run for California governor in 2026 as an independent. On his campaign website, Penner says he is running to “disrupt the failing two-party system.” ...
12 Sep, 2025
-
5 min read
Supreme Court of the United States
Forward Party Joins Petition to SCOTUS Against State of Florida
Right now, the divide between the Republican and Democratic Parties appears beyond repair. The political rhetoric is toxic, the nation’s leadership puts party gain before lasting solutions, and few voters actually feel heard by the people elected to represent them. At a time when it seems things will only get worse from here, the Independent Voter Project filed an amicus brief with the U.S. Supreme Court along with Open Primaries and the Forward Party in support of a lawsuit that targets one of the biggest culprits behind all of this....
16 Sep, 2025
-
3 min read
congress flag
Poll: 82% of Americans Want Redistricting Done by Independent Commission, Not Politicians
There may be no greater indication that voters are not being listened to in the escalating redistricting war between the Republican and Democratic Parties than a new poll from NBC News that shows 8-in-10 Americans want the parties to stop....
10 Sep, 2025
-
3 min read