New Report: Kobach Victory Means Independent Has Fighting Chance in Kansas

image
Shawn M GriffithsShawn M Griffiths
Published: 15 Aug, 2018
1 min read

A new report published by the Cook Political Report (CPR) says that Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach's GOP primary victory has moved the governor's race to "Toss Up" status -- painting an uncertain future for the state's top office.

Cook Political Report is a nonpartisan newsletter that is widely used to gauge competitiveness and trends in US House, US Senate, governor's races, and more in the US.

"In the general election, voters are looking at a competitive three-way race with Greg Orman, a businessman who is running as an independent," writes Jennifer E. Duffy for Cook Political Report.

"Orman ran for the U.S. Senate in 2014, giving GOP U.S. Sen. Pat Roberts a competitive race. While Orman could siphon votes away from Kelly, he is also likely to win over some Republican votes, especially from Colyer supporters looking for an alternative to Kobach."

Sitting Kansas Gov. Jeff Colyer conceded the GOP primary Tuesday after Kobach's lead expanded to 345 votes. The election turned heated between the two Republican candidates, and was marred in controversy as Kobach's office oversaw the recount and his deputy advised local elections officials to not count provisional ballots from unaffiliated voters.

Few pundits and politicos in the media went into the 2018 election with Kansas in mind. As Duffy writes, "In a state as Republican as Kansas, the GOP nominee would normally be at least a slight favorite."

But a competitive outside campaign -- whether we are talking independent or third party -- throws a wrench into the traditional, red vs blue narrative the media has relied on for decades.

Now, the electoral future is no longer certain, which forces pundits to take a closer look at the shifting political landscape in the state. A lot more eyes are about to be on Kansas as general election campaign season heats up.

You Might Also Like

broken california map
EXCLUSIVE: California Commissioner Says Lawmakers Gutted Their Funding BEFORE Prop 50
The fate of California’s independently drawn congressional districts will be decided on November 4, when voters weigh in on a legislative gerrymander and the suspension of congressional maps from the state's independent Citizens Redistricting Commission (CRC) under Proposition 50....
08 Oct, 2025
-
8 min read
fl-let-us-vote
Poll Shows Overwhelming Support for Opening Florida’s Primaries to 3.4M Independent Voters
A new statewide poll finds near-unanimous agreement among both Democratic and independent voters that Florida’s primaries should be opened to the state’s 3.4 million “No Party Affiliation” (NPA) voters who are currently shut out of taxpayer-funded elections....
10 Oct, 2025
-
3 min read
Proposition 50 voter guide
California Prop 50: Partisan Power Play or Necessary Counterpunch?
November 4 marks a special election for what has become the most controversial ballot measure in California in recent memory: Proposition 50, which would circumvent congressional districts drawn by the state’s independent redistricting commission for a legislative-drawn map....
01 Oct, 2025
-
9 min read