Poll: 62% of GOP Voters Want Top Vote-Getter to Win Nomination

image
Published: 19 Apr, 2016
2 min read

As the nominating contests wind down, a new poll suggests that a majority of Republicans would prefer the top vote-getter obtain the GOP presidential nomination.

The poll, from NBC News and the Wall Street Journal, found that 62% of Republican voters would favor as the nominee the candidate with the most votes if there is a contested or brokered convention. Additionally, 55% agreed it would be acceptable that Ted Cruz become the nominee at the convention.

On NBC News, Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus asserted that Trump has only received a plurality of votes, not a majority. It is an explanation the chairman has used in previous interviews. To date, Trump has received approximately 37% of the vote in Republican contests. As of this writing, Trump leads the vote count with nearly 8.2 million votes to Cruz's 6.2 million.

NBC also quoted Cruz noting that it is not necessarily the people at large, but "the delegates who were elected by the people who make the final decision," in the event of a brokered convention.

Throughout the primary process, there has been suspicion that the GOP was looking for a way to deny Trump the nomination. Trump has habitually called the nominating process "rigged against him."

However, the Washington Post has noted that Trump already benefited from the current system, such as in Florida where he won 100% of the delegates in a winner-take-all state, despite winning only 45% of the vote.

Trump still needs 482 delegates to win the nomination prior to the convention. 838 are still available, which means Trump would need to win at least 57% of the remaining delegates to win the nomination outright.

The primary process developed slowly during the Progressive Era. For years, the process was "non-binding" and amounted to straw polls of voter preferences.

Rasmussen Reports calls the 1972 campaign the first of the modern era of presidential politics with an increased number of state primaries with those primaries being given more legitimacy in the nominating process. Still, in 1972, Sen. George McGovern, with one hundred thousand fewer votes than Hubert Humphrey, dominated the delegate battle, won the nomination, and lost decisively to President Richard Nixon.

IVP Donate

As recently as 2008, a majority party candidate with the most popular votes did not receive the nomination. Although Barack Obama cleared the necessary delegate count, Hillary Clinton received a few hundred thousand more votes throughout the whole process.

Although there are several contests remaining, the poll's findings likely indicate that Republican voters are becoming increasingly aware of the prospect that the GOP convention will be contested.

Photo Credit: Christopher Halloran / Shutterstock.com

You Might Also Like

Ballrooms, Ballots, and a Three-Way Fight for New York
Ballrooms, Ballots, and a Three-Way Fight for New York
The latest Independent Voter Podcast episode takes listeners through the messy intersections of politics, reform, and public perception. Chad and Cara open with the irony of partisan outrage over trivial issues like a White House ballroom while overlooking the deeper dysfunctions in our democracy. From California to Maine, they unpack how the very words on a ballot can tilt entire elections and how both major parties manipulate language and process to maintain power....
30 Oct, 2025
-
1 min read
California Prop 50 gets an F
Princeton Gerrymandering Project Gives California Prop 50 an 'F'
The special election for California Prop 50 wraps up November 4 and recent polling shows the odds strongly favor its passage. The measure suspends the state’s independent congressional map for a legislative gerrymander that Princeton grades as one of the worst in the nation....
30 Oct, 2025
-
3 min read
bucking party on gerrymandering
5 Politicians Bucking Their Party on Gerrymandering
Across the country, both parties are weighing whether to redraw congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Texas, California, Missouri, North Carolina, Utah, Indiana, Colorado, Illinois, and Virginia are all in various stages of the action. Here are five politicians who have declined to support redistricting efforts promoted by their own parties....
31 Oct, 2025
-
4 min read