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With Re-Election Coming Up, Washington Superdelegates May Have to Defect from Clinton Camp

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All in all, my political predictions in February and March are holding fairly true, but what no one could have predicted was the blowout wins Sanders has had in the last 5 contests in the Mountain West and West Coast. Pollsters hadn’t even conducted any polls in Washington, expecting it to be Clinton territory since mid-2015.

But Washington could set a trend — the long-expected (at least in my mind) political implosion of Hillary Clinton. With 100 percent of the precincts reporting, Sanders captured 72.7 percent of the vote — more than 7 in 10 voters — winning every single county.

But Clinton has deep political ties when it comes to Washington, already collecting the non-binding pledges of 10 of the 17 superdelegates allocated to the state.

These 10 are all elected officials, not lobbyists or party cronies, and 9 out of the 10 are up for election this year.

If down-ballot coattails means anything in 2016, we’re going to see some defections out of Clinton’s camp this week, possibly to Sanders, but more likely to the ‘uncommitted’ status of ‘wait-and-see.’ Even if Sanders doesn’t capture the nomination, who in their right mind would go against 7 in 10 Democratic voters?

If down-ballot coat-tails means anything in 2016, we're going to see some defections out of Clinton's camp this week...

Sanders still has a big gap in delegates, but in politics, momentum is everything. In baseball terms, Clinton is on the skids, even though she is up in delegates. When you face that kind of losing streak, bad ju-ju (karma, luck, jinxing, or whatever you’d like to call it) just seems to compound every mistake.

Being on the defensive from Bill Clinton’s ‘awful legacy‘ comments and then almost going into recluse mode for Western Saturday, it seems like she’s playing the role of political firefighter, not the expected place of the front-runner.

Sanders’ speech on Saturday was brilliant, full of energy, and spot on message.

From an independent perspective, Sanders could have another landslide in Wisconsin. The independent vote has faithfully followed Sanders in the open primary states, helping him drive large landslides.

But after Wisconsin, the open primaries start to dry up, with only 5 or 6 (depending on how you define ‘open’) remaining.  Sanders is going to have to win in the Democratic strongholds of the North East without the help of independents.

What if he has a blow-out win in Wisconsin, not just the less-than-majority win in Michigan’s Rust-Belt contest, but an over-the-top 70 percent or more win?

During the Western Saturday coverage, CNN commentator Donna Brazile gave Sanders props for not complaining about the rules (pertaining to superdelegates), but at what point does Sanders start actively calling for defections?

The math makes it critical for Sanders to expect and call for these defections.

If nothing changes, Sanders would have to win a little more than 2 pledged delegates for each of Clinton’s delegates won in the remaining contests. In other words, he would have to capture more than 66 percent of the remaining delegates on the path to 2383.

Picking up unpledged superdelegates would be handy, but chopping into Clinton’s superdelegate stash would have a demoralizing effect and would pick up valuable votes at the cost of her losing them.

Because in the end, it’s all about momentum, and Sanders is in the perfect position to pull off a ‘miracle spring’ in the 2016 primary season.

Join the discussion Please be relevant and respectful.

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379 comments
lizzbird1
lizzbird1

Already a BernieorBuster til the bitter end.  The 'queen' shall NOT be crowned.

EmmVee
EmmVee

Can you please post link to your Facebook and Twitter and let others know? Thank you.

EmmVee
EmmVee

PLEASE POST, SHARE THIS ON FACEBOOK & TWITTER

If you haven’t done so already, please click on the link below and take the Bernie or bust pledge and join the movement!

If we can get enough signatures on the Bernie or bust pledge, we can use this as leverage at the upcoming democratic convention that will let the DNC know if Bernie's not the nominee, hundreds of thousands of Bernie supporters will be voting Green Party or writing in Bernie's name in the general election. Thus, denying Hillary Clinton the presidency.

Basically, the pledge states if Bernie’s not the democratic nominee, you agree to vote Green Party or write in Bernie’s name in the general election.

https://citizensagainstplutocracy.wordpress.com

After taking the pledge, please post on your Facebook and Twitter and let others know.

Thank you.

EmmVee
EmmVee

JohnMHernandez

PLEASE POST, SHARE THIS ON FACEBOOK & TWITTER

If you haven’t done so already, please click on the link below and take the Bernie or bust pledge and join the movement!

If we can get enough signatures on the Bernie or bust pledge, we can use this as leverage at the upcoming democratic convention that will let the DNC know if Bernie's not the nominee, hundreds of thousands of Bernie supporters will be voting Green Party or writing in Bernie's name in the general election. Thus, denying Hillary Clinton the presidency.

Basically, the pledge states if Bernie’s not the democratic nominee, you agree to vote Green Party or write in Bernie’s name in the general election.

https://citizensagainstplutocracy.wordpress.com

After taking the pledge, please post on your Facebook and Twitter and let others know.

Thank you.

Anita Tauvela Taesali
Anita Tauvela Taesali

Less than 20,000 votes? Alaska less than 600 votes? Very few voters and very few delegates!

Lisa Wentz
Lisa Wentz

Copying someone.... Superdelegates are meant to express their choices based on their own judgment. They aren't conduits for the will of ordinary party members. The superdelegate feature of the Democratic presidential nominating process is predicated on the belief that political professionals (that's what all superdelgates are) know more about politics than do ordinary party members and so should have more individual influence than do ordinary party members in nominating the top Democratic political candidate. And it exists to ensure that the party doesn't end up nominating unelectable or harmful candidates. I believe that Bernie Sanders is neither unelectable nor harmful, but the system wasn't built for this one nominating cycle only. It's not hard to imagine a scenario where a candidate has the support of a majority of primary voters and caucus-goers, but would be a flop in a general election because she or he is unable to attract support from independents and some members of the other party. (No Democrat can win with only the support of Democrats, after all.) It's especially easy to imagine this nightmare scenario, because the nomination of an unelectable and harmful candidate is currently underway in the other major American political party. Republicans don't have superdelegates, but we can be sure that the more responsible figures in the party's leadership wish they did right about now. The superdelegates would serve as a bulwark against Trump. Without them, responsible Republican leaders are forced to stand aside and watch their party be hijacked and probably wrecked by a demagogue with an angry mob behind him. We're fortunate that we Democrats have two good candidates this cycle, but it's conceivable that the Democratic party could someday wind up with its own version of Trump--a passionate, polarizing figure who inspires a majority of the party base but who would make a terrible candidate for president. If that's the case, we'll be well-served by our superdelegates. That's a great thing if you want the party to never nominate a terrible candidate, and it's a bummer if you want revolution within the party in a single election cycle. Our nominating system includes superdelegates. We should work to change that if we think it ought to change, but we shouldn't expect the superdelegates to be our voice, let alone threaten them for not doing so. Their voices are their voices.

KathyPerry1
KathyPerry1

Super delegates don't vote unless there is a tie at the convention between the delegates. And I don't think any government Official should be allowed this position especially Bill Clinton. Career criminals both of them...Ignorance is a choice when their criminals activities just need to be searched. And he's a sexual pervert  I can do without another term of the Clintons.. #bernieorbust

Jay Callahan
Jay Callahan

Fine. Let's get rid of all super delegates. You're still not winning CA or NY which would be your only chance of making up significant gap in pledged delegates. Thanks for playing.

JimKiracov
JimKiracov

Actually in case you did not know, Sanders is closing a once huge gap in NYS to much closer 11% AND new voter registration is still climbing! Expect another upset in NYS. As for CA, same story lol.


Michael Cameron
Michael Cameron

How can they not vote for the people's choice without being revealed as total con artists.

Janet Reel
Janet Reel

Wouldn't that be a blessing for Bernie and for us.

Carmen Mossholder Schwartz
Carmen Mossholder Schwartz

So important to resist the double talk, from the media, about Hillary's super delegate. If Bernie keeps winning, these delegates will move over to him. If they don't, they are likely to be looking for a new job.

Bradley Brown
Bradley Brown

BERNIE SANDERS SHOULD RUN AS AN INDEPENDENT!

LarrynMary Matney
LarrynMary Matney

Let's see Vote's ?? super delegates. Sorry American corruption win's by 6 lengths . Wasn't even a Horse race really.!!!

Neva Mosley
Neva Mosley

he is to damn old to run for anything except the bathroom

Tom E
Tom E

he's 2 years older than Trump and he's sharper than most 50 year olds.  What does AGE have to do with it!??  LISTEN to him speak, just once or twice and I promise you will be a believer....

Eddie Carr
Eddie Carr

Third choice, commit suicide because neither candidate are worth two hoots in hell.

Sheryl Stiles
Sheryl Stiles

If they go against the people, vote them out.

Lionel Martin
Lionel Martin

Let's start a Facebook revolution. If the dnc thinks it can have all super delegates pledge to Hillary, If Bernie wins a state and county and that super delegate votes for Hillary,the one thing that beats money is the district voters... Pledge to start a movement to vote against that super delegate..... In their election! That's the only way to defeat the pressure the Debbie wasserman Shultz and the DNC are putting on the bought and paid for house and senate voting against their state and district!

Michael A. Gresko
Michael A. Gresko

There are rules that set them free, only after the first vote.

John Dixon
John Dixon

Superdelegates are a total corruption of the elective process. They are bought and paid for, how can this evilness go on?

Tyler Evertsen
Tyler Evertsen

Oh, boy....here we go with the continuing rhetoric trying to lure SD's away from Hillary Clinton. It's as if Sanders is trying to create the impression that SD's just started this election cycle.

Albert Walsh
Albert Walsh

Who cares. If he is the one they choose, it will hand the republicans the election.

LucasKirby
LucasKirby

How can you say that when Bernie Sanders beats every single republican by a landslide in every single poll. Hillary wins, but not by nearly as large of margins and she loses by 6 points to Kasich! Comon, do some research before you start talking about electability. 

John Roberts
John Roberts

Democrats have a weird system, for sure.

Tim Wheeler
Tim Wheeler

I plan to work hard to get ride of any Washington State democratic party politicians who do not pledge with Senator Sanders. I will assume they are aligned with the corrupt corporate establishment.

Candy K. Willians
Candy K. Willians

lefties have ruined america in every way imaginable over the last 40 years ! you have to have cranked out half of your brain to even think about putting this commie in power !

lizzbird1
lizzbird1

You are embarrassing yourself.

Brad Wolfe
Brad Wolfe

Can anybody please explain to me why Bernie Sanders seems to be only getting 25 delegates for his win for Washington states Saturday caucus? By my math he should be getting 73% of 101 delegates. What am I missing?

LucasKirby
LucasKirby

Yes, the extra delegates will be allocated after the state convention on June 19th. More than likely, he'll win even more delegates because there are tiers to the race in this state. Look up Nevada. He actually just won Clark county today and will walk away from Nevada with more delegates than hIllary, even though he lost the majority of the state. So, the delegates you speak of will be allocated in June, no worries! 

JohnMHernandez
JohnMHernandez

Debbie Wasserman admitted that super delegates are there to stifle any grass root movement.....not very democratic

Katy Day
Katy Day

When's the last time we even used a super delegate, like never.