IVN News

Polls, Polls, and More Polls: Ranked Choice Voting Reveals Why Donald Trump Still Dominates

Paid Advertisement

The College of William and Mary and FairVote partnered with YouGov to conduct an online national survey of a representative sample of 1,000 Republican and independent voters on January 21-25 and February 4-8. Their innovative methodology incorporated presidential candidate rankings, issue analyses, and voter opinion on electoral reforms. Read the full report.

The findings highlight the fact that when allowed to fully express their preferences among all Republican presidential candidates, a majority of voters supported Ted Cruz over Donald Trump, despite Trump garnering a plurality of support when voters were only asked for their first choice. In addition, polling shows that there is an appetite for reform in the presidential nomination process among Republican and independent voters. Young millennial voters (under 30) had the highest intensity of support for electoral reforms to accommodate greater choice in elections, and increase electoral competition. Read our press release highlighting key findings

Interactive Data Tool: Try out RCV and Impact of Candidate Withdrawals

FairVote has teamed with Civinomics to create a ranked choice voting app that allows users to create ranked choice voting contests. It also allows you to interact with all the ranked choice data from our new YouGov poll. Go to http://www.GOP2016poll.com to see the full simulation and learn more about the relationships among backers of different candidates.

Here’s how to get the most from the RCV app:

1. See the ranked choice voting tally: The results page displays the final two candidates and indicates the candidate who wins a majority of votes in the final round through a ranked choice voting. In this case, Ted Cruz is the winner, which means voters ranked Cruz ahead of Donald Trump on a majority of ballots in which at least one of them was ranked. To see the round-by-round resultsin a chart, scroll down to the bottom of the page.

2. See how the tally happened: Click the green “show me how it happened” button in the right hand corner to go to the first round of the count, which shows each candidate’s share of first choices. Then click on the green arrow on the top right to go through each round of the tally, with the last-place candidate eliminated and their ballots added to the candidate ranked next by each of their voters.

3. Simulate withdrawal of candidates: Back at the first round screen, you can click on the red elimination icon to the left of each name to see the impact of that candidate not running — that is, all of that candidate’s votes are immediately re-allocated to the candidate ranked next on each ballot. For example, the poll includes several candidates who have withdrawn such as Chris Christie, Rick Santorum, Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee, and Ron Paul. Eliminating them allows you to see the vote shares as if they hadn’t been on the ballot. To suimulate

4. Simulate 1-on-1 contests: If you want to see how any two candidates would fare if matched against each other, eliminate other candidates, starting at the top. (Once any candidate goes over 50%, that candidate cannot be eliminated.)

 

What is Ranked Choice Voting?

Ranked choice voting (RCV) allows voters to rank as many candidates as they want in order of choice. When used to elect a single candidate like a presidential nominee, RCV helps to elect a candidate more reflective of a majority of voters in a single election even when several viable candidates are in the race. That’s because If no candidate receives a majority of first choices, the candidate in last place is eliminated, and those voters have their vote count for their next choice still in the race. Candidates do best when they garner a strong core of first-choice support while also attracting second and even third choice support.

Download Full Report

 

Editor’s note: This post originally published on FairVote’s website.

Photo Credit: a katz / Shutterstock.com

Join the discussion Please be relevant and respectful.

The Independent Voter Network is dedicated to providing political analysis, unfiltered news, and rational commentary in an effort to elevate the level of our public discourse.


Learn More About IVN

185 comments
IanCasey
IanCasey

Geez who wrote this? A middle schooler?

Karon Leggio
Karon Leggio

Trump for President, the rest are loser's

Lynn Anderson
Lynn Anderson

Trump can't be beat by any one running in eather party as he has more experience then all the rest put together ..

Philip Kuhn
Philip Kuhn

Primarily because Republicans want to see the clown show go on. Yet he will absolutely strip them of everything they have.

Bob Clunie
Bob Clunie

Trump = Hillary becomes President. GOP should Win, could Win but not with Trump.

Blake Bennett Campbell
Blake Bennett Campbell

The only way Trump supporters would not support Trump is if he got elected and didn't do what he said he would do

James Moose Lyles
James Moose Lyles

It is time for us to put our house back in order. The way it should be.We tried it everybodies else's way and it did not work. Now we will try it our way. Go Donald J. Trump

Maurice Loucel
Maurice Loucel

is a delusional.. Our #1 problem is not immigration is TERRORISM and is not coming from either Mexicans or Latinos: - 911 Attackers were legally here and were not Mexicans or Latinos - Oklahoma McVeigh was not here illegally and was not Mexican or Latino - Boston Bombers were legally here and were not Mexicans or Latinos - The guy with the shoe bomb was legally here and was not Mexican or Latino Now Trump's parents came illegally to this country, and he is a son of Illegal immigrants, so he is an #AnchorBaby himself and to top it off he is also an #AnchorHusband suffering from the new illness #Affluenza, his wife hates to speak in public because she doesn't speak English well enough, Her green card was gained through Him and in record time thanks to his money not following the process he so much push. So much for him that even before possibly being elected candidate 4 countries (if not more) are seriously considering banning him from their land. His own mother land of Germany doesn't like him. NOT A SINGLE CANDIDATE IN OUR HISTORY HAS EVER BEEN BANNED FROM COUNTRIES CONSIDERED OUR ALLIES. Is so bad that we are the laugh of almost every country in the world including Russia (He claims He can see Russia from his window like Palin). He Is an #EgoCentric #Egomaniac full of it. He is a Con Artist The fact that Trump is CURRENTLY BEING INVESTIGATED FOR MASSIVE FINANCIAL FRAUD BECAUSE OF THE FAKE TRUMP UNIVERSITY. The fact of Trump hiring illegal immigrants (yes, Trump is the "nationalist" candidate who hires foreign illegals to build his skyscrapers) and the DHS fined him a million dollars for it. I'm a 7th generation American maybe lucky my ancestors history says they never came illegally like Trump's , or murdered Natives but defend them and I feel proud of it, do you? I would ask you to reconsider, history is a witch and bite many back. From the words of Max Lucado: "I don’t know Mr. Trump. But I’ve been chagrined at his antics. He ridiculed a war hero. He made mockery of a reporter’s menstrual cycle. He made fun of a disabled reporter. He referred to the former first lady, Barbara Bush as “mommy,” and belittled Jeb Bush for bringing her on the campaign trail. He routinely calls people “stupid,” “loser,” and “dummy.” These were not off-line, backstage, overheard, not-to-be-repeated comments. They were publicly and intentionally tweeted, recorded, and presented. Such insensitivities wouldn’t even be acceptable even for a middle school student body election." I'm a #Republican not a #TrumpZombie Please you are not a true #Republican you are simply a #TrumpZombie.

Maurice Loucel
Maurice Loucel

is a delusional.. Our #1 problem is not immigration is TERRORISM and is not coming from either Mexicans or Latinos: - 911 Attackers were legally here and were not Mexicans or Latinos - Oklahoma McVeigh was not here illegally and was not Mexican or Latino - Boston Bombers were legally here and were not Mexicans or Latinos - The guy with the shoe bomb was coming legally here and was not Mexican or Latino Now Trump's parents came illegally to this country, and he is a son of Illegal immigrants, so he is an #AnchorBaby himself and to top it off he is also an #AnchorHusband suffering from the new illness #Affluenza, his wife hates to speak in public because she doesn't speak English well enough, Her green card was gained through Him and in record time thanks to his money not following the process he so much push. So much for him that even before possibly being elected candidate 4 countries (if not more) are seriously considering banning him from their land. His own mother land of Germany doesn't like him. NOT A SINGLE CANDIDATE IN OUR HISTORY HAS EVER BEEN BANNED FROM COUNTRIES CONSIDERED OUR ALLIES. Is so bad that we are the laugh of almost every country in the world including Russia (He claims He can see Russia from his window like Palin). He Is an #EgoCentric #Egomaniac full of it. He is a Con Artist The fact that Trump is CURRENTLY BEING INVESTIGATED FOR MASSIVE FINANCIAL FRAUD BECAUSE OF THE FAKE TRUMP UNIVERSITY. The fact of Trump hiring illegal immigrants (yes, Trump is the "nationalist" candidate who hires foreign illegals to build his skyscrapers) and the DHS fined him a million dollars for it. I'm a 7th generation American maybe lucky my ancestors history says they never came illegally like Trump's , or murdered Natives but defend them and I feel proud of it, do you? I would ask you to reconsider, history is a witch and bite many back. From the words of Max Lucado: "I don’t know Mr. Trump. But I’ve been chagrined at his antics. He ridiculed a war hero. He made mockery of a reporter’s menstrual cycle. He made fun of a disabled reporter. He referred to the former first lady, Barbara Bush as “mommy,” and belittled Jeb Bush for bringing her on the campaign trail. He routinely calls people “stupid,” “loser,” and “dummy.” These were not off-line, backstage, overheard, not-to-be-repeated comments. They were publicly and intentionally tweeted, recorded, and presented. Such insensitivities wouldn’t even be acceptable even for a middle school student body election." I'm a #Republican not a #TrumpZombie Please you are not a true #Republican you are simply a #TrumpZombie.

Connie Atkinson
Connie Atkinson

Right, so bite off your nose to spite your face and elect Trump. Your new messiah will not save you any more than the present one did.

Annette Sidon
Annette Sidon

They want to enhance our education system... it's obvious that the current system has failed.

Bill Barry
Bill Barry

Hope not!!! I like what hes saying, and dosent back down

Mike Smith
Mike Smith

Hey stupid...he is establishment. Wake up fool

Mike Smith
Mike Smith

Go Trump. He just needs to stop dropping down to the other candidates level of cheap politics.

Katie Stevens
Katie Stevens

John Lambert you cannot possibly think that Trump will do other than feather is own nest. I'll grant you that his bombastic speeches have a way of reeling in the politically unschooled. Please give Bernie another look. I don't think he is as weak on foreign policy as some say. A good cabinet can make up for any weakness real or assumed. The Peace Factory

Yaya Lagoons
Yaya Lagoons

Another excuse, blames others but yet he does it. I buy a lot of clothes that's made in the USA. What a chump trump.

Katie Stevens
Katie Stevens

Won't be pissed when Sanders wins. He may be hard for you to understand. Give him a chance. I feelbyou will eventually see his worth. Peace.

Holly Stowe
Holly Stowe

Equally, if not more sad that such an unethical candidate as Hillary Clinton could still be in the race and leading the Democratic Party...

Holly Stowe
Holly Stowe

Trump isn't unstoppable if we the people would actually open up our eyes to the one decent man still running for president; a man with successful experience at both the federal and state level of government, a man of common sense and compassion. A man who doesn't divide us but wants us to work together toward a strong and vibrant country. His problem? He is running a competent and a POSITIVE campaign for we the people and he isn't a LOUDMOUTH buffoon. He isn't a sophomore senator who thinks he has the experience to run a country. He isn't a liar and he isn't making promises that we can't possibly afford to keep. Open your eyes to the campaign of JOHN KASICH.

Kristine Maas
Kristine Maas

You know what. I wasn't for trump or anyone actually. Got tired of the corruption in politics rnc, gop,dem,etc. Everyone lies, blames each other, etc. I'm an independent by the way. Used to be Democrat. Sadly I voted for Obama. Really thought the man would change the world. Never knew it would be for the worse. So this year I really just wanted to know what they all had to say. For a time, I was going with ted Cruz until I started asking a few questions about things he was doing and saying that didn't seem to jive and the tedbots came for my jugular! They were pretty cruel and evil to me and called me senseless names without even knowing who I was. Eventually I came across an abundant of truth proving what a horrible liar he was and how he and his Christian friends don't act very Christian towards people with questions. I even looked at Rubio. He loves this country I believe but he's so young and gets flustered easily. Jeb, well he's a bush and that says it all for me. Lol. Hillary is a complete snake in the grass and bernie, we'll he's a nice old man wanting to give our county away for free but financially I don't think that's feasible. And Ben Carson, well he's awesome. . But more of a vp not president. And then we have Donald trump. At first I thought it was comical he was running for president. But the more I listened, the more I believed him. I believed him because he's so honest that his language isn't always the best. Lol. He's not pre rehearsed . He's not scripted. He's already rich so he don't need the money. He's raised some damm fine kids with respect and morals and class and character and I truly believe that he just got sick and tired of our country being ran into the dirt. It's clear once your let go of the politics that he's the man for the job. Simply put. . He deserves to be president and we, the American people deserve to have a President like him. It sickens me however, that even his own party rnc, gop are against him? ! To the point of savage That's just crazy how he can't even get support from his own party. Is that what our country has came to? Maybe so. But I vote for trump! The real honest America loving president! The American people should be worried about gettin a president into office who will help AMERICA not worried about any party being rep, dem but american! It's sickening to see the republicans trashing one another's plans to try to steal the integrity of other candidates who support the same party. There was a time in AMERICA that instead of trying to disrespect and slander a candidate of the same party .they would support one another to choose the strongest person to represent the people. It's all about individual power and greed. It appears there are no candidates that have AMERICA in their intrest just a bunch of back stabbing greedy groups of non functional non american thugs ! There has always been difference of opinion an ideas but it used to be from different parties rep , dem but the parties usually try to support the party they represent. It's no surprise this country is goin to hell. It's really sad to think AMERICA has became a place that people have became so savage. How could Americans ever exspect not to fall to its lowest ? Devided we Fall!!!!! Wake up people ! Where's the pride? Make America great again! Trump is the only candidate to mention doin the job for AMERICA! The other candidates have all left out the most important thing in this country. AMERICA!!!!!

Larry Clayton
Larry Clayton

we the people need to vote in big numbers send the message. Make America Great Trumps Silent Majority, Make America Great Again

Jeri Tiley
Jeri Tiley

Pleaae! His face and mouth are shown more than all the other candidates combined. There's no such thing as bad publicity, and really he's self crucifying, no help needed on that part.

Dominic Carmelich
Dominic Carmelich

Bernie is a joke. But few will be laughing in the future if he succeeds.

Dominic Carmelich
Dominic Carmelich

I'm no Trump supporter, but "media love affair with Trump"? Please. They have tried to crucify him unsuccessfully.

Dominic Carmelich
Dominic Carmelich

Your right Esther. And unfortunately it comes down to who we can recover from easier. If Hillary is elected, I foresee a real revolution in this country at some point in America's future. Trump I think will do some good economically, and may actually unite Americans against him on some issues. I think we can recover easier from Trump.

Dominic Carmelich
Dominic Carmelich

David, we have a government that punishes company's for keeping their workforce here. But awards them if they hire foreigners on work visa's here instead of Americans. No let's imagine you are a business owner in manufacturing in the U.S. What will you be forced to do to stay in business? At some point we will have to face the facts and stop blaming the companies who are trying to thrive in a game rigged by our government. We as a nation, are shooting ourselves. Google what Disney did recently.

Nick Dunn
Nick Dunn

TRUMP IS ON TOP !!!!FACT!!!!!

David Fischer
David Fischer

This election seems more like a comedy skit from Saturday Night Live than anything tangible. A vote for Bernie Sanders is the only possibility when all other options are exhausted.

David Fischer
David Fischer

He seems unstoppable by his fellow Republicans, but a weak democratic candidate will get more votes than Trump, just because he is so terrible of a possibility.

Theresa Lea Cormier
Theresa Lea Cormier

Go ahead and lie to the people, it's NOT as if we aren't used to it, people will believe what they want anyhow, right or wrong......

Jeri Tiley
Jeri Tiley

It's crazy to me that only 4 states have voted and we're calling winners. Of course they've been calling winners since before even the first debate, let alone the first caucuses. Didn't they say it would be Bush/Clinton? Then Cruz/Clinton, now Trump/Clinton? Why don't we wait and see what happens on Tuesday, at least then they'll have a little bit more of an idea of what's really going on, rather than just the Media love affair with anything Trump.

Richard Porthouse
Richard Porthouse

I don't care what the Establishment Polls say..there is No GOP currently running that beats Trump. He has tapped into what the two party corruption has created..a simmering frustration beginning to boil and Trump is the vent for the steam to escape that if stopped may just blow the top off the GOP for good.

Dianne DeMattia
Dianne DeMattia

I have a feeling it will be a Trump and Carson ticket. In which case, fortunately or unfortunately (depending on your stance), I don't think Hillary or Bernie stand a chance.

Mark Nelson
Mark Nelson

Trump is a side show freak. Hillary is selected. Watch the polls on the MSM. Your vote matters not, and is an illusion the elites watch for their amusement. Sort of like a soap comedy I suppose with a touch of reality show...

Timothy Curtin
Timothy Curtin

David J. Wagner III Sounds like you're throwing in the towel. It's time for a full-court press on the establishment. See what they've done with Trump, however misguided it might be? The left needs to do the same. Sanders is good enough and experienced enough to do a hostile takeover of establishment left. Time for real change.

Tim Varner
Tim Varner

SORRY BUT YOU ARE WRONG,,,NO ONE WILL EVEN COME CLOSE....TRUMP IS COMING.,,.WASHINGTON AND THE GOP YOU MAD,,,...CHINA YOU MAD....MEXICO YOU MAD...BECAUSE THEY KNOW HE SPEAKS THE TRUTH.....HE IS ALREADY TOUCHING OTHER PARTS OF THE WORLD,,AND HE IS NOT EVEN THE PRESIDENT YET,,,INCREDIBLE,,,TRUMP IS COMING.... Like · Reply · Just now

Jean E McClelland
Jean E McClelland

Yes, Trump is stoppable but it takes a fairer representation by the media of all candidates running, not just the top 3. Where's the media coverage of the solutions proposed by John Kasich? Isn't there a person running for the Libertarian party or the Independent Party? At this point, most of the people I talk to want a choice of "None of the Above". Message to the media - HELP the public voice our opinions and elect a president that offers the world an insight into the American people as well as a leader that helps America get back to the innovative, honest, and productive nation on which we built our old reputation. Stop the aggression advanced by Bush and start the world wheels turning toward peace and prosperity.

Terry Bentley
Terry Bentley

Trump and Dr. Carson are the only ones that actually done something great with their lives without riding on taxpayer's backs....keep that in mind....

William Richardson
William Richardson

Never has so much been thrown at one person and still standing, working hard for us its our turn to support him VOTE TRUMP

ngocdienpr0
ngocdienpr0

Liền kề <a href="http://thegreendaisy.vn" title="liền kề the green daisy, liền kề Geleximco, liền kề lê trọng tấn, liền kề the green manor" rel="dofollow">The Green Daisy</a> |

Liền kề <a href="http://thegreenmanor.net/" title="liền kề the green manor, liền kề the green daisy, liền kề Geleximco, liền kề lê trọng tấn" rel="dofollow">The Green Manor</a> |

<a href="http://chungcunhadep.com/c42a1265/lien-ke-the-green-daisy-le-trong-tan-the-green-manor.html" title="Liền kề The Green Daisy, liền kề the green manor" rel="dofollow">Liền kề The Green Daisy</a> |

<a href="http://phochungcu.net/lien-ke-the-green-daisy-le-trong-tan-ha-dong.html" title="Liền kề Lê Trọng Tấn, liền kề Geleximco, liền kề the green daisy" rel="dofollow">Liền kề Lê Trọng Tấn</a> |

<a href="http://buingocdien.com/lien-ke-the-green-daisy-the-green-manor-le-trong-tan-ha-dong.html" title="the green daisy, the green manor, liền kề geleximco" rel="dofollow">liền kề geleximco</a> |

<a href="http://chungcunhadep.com/c41a1266/chung-cu-sunrise-city-le-van-luong.html" title="sunrise city, chung cư sunrise city, dự án sunrise city" rel="dofollow">Sunrise city</a> |

<a href="http://phochungcu.net/chung-cu-sunrise-city-le-van-luong-ha-noi.html" title="chung cư sunrise city, dự án sunrise city" rel="dofollow">Chung cư Sunrise City</a> |

<a href="http://buingocdien.com/du-an-chung-cu-sunrise-city-le-van-luong.html" title="dự án sunrise city, mặt bằng sunrise city" rel="dofollow">Dự án Sunrise City</a> |

<a hr