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One Poll Shows Bernie Sanders Closing the Gap on Clinton Nationwide

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Hillary Clinton’s support among Democrats nationwide may be taking a serious hit, according to a recent IBD/TIPP poll. While Clinton’s support hovered at around 50 percent going into December, it has dropped to 43 percent, while Sanders’ support has climbed to 39 percent.

“As a result, Clinton’s lead over Sanders, which had been 18 points, is now just four points,” IBD reports.

Other polls have shown the race tightening in Iowa, which holds its caucuses on Feb. 1, and New Hampshire, which has its primary eight days later. Two recent New Hampshire surveys have Sanders in the lead, and the latest NBC poll in Iowa has Sanders just three points behind Clinton.

 

But the IBD/TIPP Poll is the first to show the race significantly tightening nationwide.

With a 5.1 percent margin of error, this would put the two candidates at a statistical tie. A recent FoX News poll, however, which covers roughly the same time period as the IBD/TIPP poll, shows Hillary with a much broader lead, 54-39 (a gap of 15 percentage points).

The disparity between the polls is not incredibly shocking, according to Pew Research, which recently reported on the ongoing problems of horse race polling — a practice that has proven to be mostly ineffective in the past couple of presidential election cycles and in major races nationwide.

Pew attributes 3 likely causes: “biased samples that include an incorrect proportion of each candidate’s supporters; change in voter preferences between the time of the poll and the election; or incorrect forecasts about who will vote.”

Pew states that the final issue may be the most serious since pollsters are being asked to produce a model for an electorate that does not yet exist. As the number of voters who both self-identify and register independent of the two major parties continues to grow, the traditional polling models will likely continue to miss the mark.

Looking at the grassroots support Bernie, it seems the race may indeed be much closer than some pollsters are suggesting, including in states outside of Iowa and New Hampshire.

Photo Credit: Juli Hansen / Shutterstock.com

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372 comments
Jerry Baker
Jerry Baker

There is no way a socialist will win a general election in America.

Betty Dills
Betty Dills

I sure hope Trump is out as he is a danger to our country the way he insults everyone and everything. Anyone is better than he is.

Jay Buckmaster
Jay Buckmaster

Sorry America is not yet a socialist country. What you call Socialism is closer to Statism; (concentration of economic controls and planning in the hands of a highly centralized government often extending to government ownership of industry). Socialism; (a way of organizing a society in which major industries are owned and controlled by the government rather than by individual people and companies.)

Joey Deacon
Joey Deacon

So answer the question based on your better info?

TaKa Ryuujin
TaKa Ryuujin

Socialism=A means of production regulated by society. Welcome to socialist America. I know it's confusing, disorienting, but that will fade in a few days. America Is Socialist.

Jacob Foote
Jacob Foote

You wouldn't have such terrible info if you didn't do research on the inquisitor

Mike Guay
Mike Guay

Hillary is GOP lite. Much too cozy with Wall Street and big business interests for my tastes. Also a lady hawk.

Jay Buckmaster
Jay Buckmaster

TaKa Ryuujin ....You are mistaken a society for socialism .. Every American worker has paid into Medicare & Social Security. In America Public & Education are funded by property tax. Police & Fire are also funded vehicle registration fees & by tax dollars.SOCIETY; (a voluntary association of individuals for common ends; especially : an organized group working together or periodically meeting because of common interests, beliefs, or profession.)

Nevil Williamson
Nevil Williamson

The bern will crash and burn once no longer in fantasy land,ia,new h,vermont.leaving you with liar,under two seperate federal investigations. Good luck

Nevil Williamson
Nevil Williamson

You are void of facts. Healthcare. Govt drives up the cost of healthcare thru unnecessary regulations on providers and insurers.tells the people its greed.people like you buy into it.throw ypur hands up and say its such a mess we might as well let the govt take it over. Just as they planned. Every leftests dictator has dreamed of "universal healthcare".it equals power over the people. Wake up

TaKa Ryuujin
TaKa Ryuujin

Socialism is already in America. Military: Socialist. Public transportation: Socialist. Medicare: Socialist. Social security: Socialist. Public education: Socialist. Police: Socialist. Fire department: Socialist. If you support any of these things, you support Socialism.

Aaron Vansell
Aaron Vansell

I'm for every form of education and birth control!! But I'm sick of innocent lives being lost in the form of birth control!! Just because someone was careless or changed their mind !! The baby should have as much right at life as we have!!

Mayor Spangler
Mayor Spangler

You should be worried about Rubio or Cruz.... Trump can't beat Hilary's donation dollars. Next pres, Clinton.

Mayor Spangler
Mayor Spangler

" lobbyist payroll... Screwing millions of american workers.... Republican Party" lol, he's not even remotely conservative. And he did pay me $300 one time to drive him to his helicopter. Crappy tip, huh? Bernie has heart. Hillary is the next purchased politician who will hop into anybody's pocket or lobby

Joe Kerby
Joe Kerby

Polls are just an educated guess, we'll see soon how real the polls are when these primary's get underway

Amanda Desirée Early
Amanda Desirée Early

No one is pro-abortion. You really think people just think abortion is so great? No. But the difference is that people with a more liberal lean believe in increased access to birth control and better sexual education (as a science). These kinds of things lower abortion rates! We just choose to look at the issue realistically. You're not going to stop every abortion even if it were illegal. It would just increase the deaths from back alley ones. It's much better to try to get to the root of the problem and work on preventing anyone from getting to that point in the first place! That should be the end game. And it's been working very well in many European countries who are much more open about sexual health. It could here too. In fact, the abortion rate is on the decline in the US. We should try to keep that going.

Johnny Ritchie
Johnny Ritchie

Bernie is a big dreamer with no means. Hillary is a realist progressive, as is President Obama. Whether Bernie or Hillary is elected as President, they need a Congress which also legislates for the 100% of American's vs just the 1%.

Johnny Ritchie
Johnny Ritchie

LOL, and Trump, the Billionaire with his own Lobbyist payroll allowing his screwing of several million American workers leads the Republican Party,,,,which said he wants Bernie to be his opponent. Wonder why? (Sarcastic question)

Beau McCary
Beau McCary

I work too hard for Bernie to give my money away. Trump16!!!!!!

Jerry Dougherty
Jerry Dougherty

wow, the liberals are more communist that I thought..

Roger Mangum
Roger Mangum

Same idiots who would vote for Hillary would vote for this idiot. I'm tired of hearing I'm a Democrat because my parents and grandparents were Democrats. Tired of folks who can not think for themselves, and believing the lies of the left media and Politicians without doing a little research to gain the truth, and making a good logical decision. These folks are just drones of the Liberals.

Dan Held
Dan Held

Bothers my own sensibilities as an independent for reason of my moderate, centrist views. Frankly, this wave of populist extremism, Trump vs Sanders, is an indictment of both parties for their gerrymandering, polarizing politics of the past. Obama is right on where our future political reform is concerned. Hillary is a reformer and Bernie is a revolutionary. Big difference!

Manny Tomas
Manny Tomas

That a lie. Bernie is at 64 percent.

Brian Phillips
Brian Phillips

Sad. The democratic party has fallen on it's face.

Russ von Hagen
Russ von Hagen

This is what happens when your principles do not change based on what is politically expedient.

Tom Babcock
Tom Babcock

Timothy Curtin maybe that's because he IS marginal...at best!

Leanne Harrington
Leanne Harrington

In general, people don't trust or like Hillary. She's ruthlessly ambitious and a political flip flopper. Someone who evolved (learned from mistakes) would admit yes, I used to support x but I learned abc and now I support y. She just tries to deny or hide it. Dems will end up rallying to a more positive, less political/corporate message just like they did with Obama. Folks are tired of the status quo, they want someone who represents THEIR interests (middle class). It's time for another trust buster like Teddy Roosevelt to break up the oligarchy.

MJ Lambert
MJ Lambert

Yes Bernie!!!! Go!!!! You Got this!!!!

Marie Sol Lind
Marie Sol Lind

Sanders crushing his commie evil grandma. Prez Trump. 2016.

Joey Deacon
Joey Deacon

Not that I care because the raving imbecile has as much chance of being elected as that other lunatic Trump but assuming you are right, at 13k per year for 4 years that's $52k. She received $90k what's the explanation for the other $38k? He's the "champion" of political fairness, but has no problem with nepotism and constructive accounting. The DNC would be all up there to have him removed if there was a hint of wrong doing - what a joke. You mean like they are with Clinton. They must be waiting for formal charges before doing anything with that disgrace.

Mary Shoff
Mary Shoff

They were kind of busy saving the world economy from collapsing because of Bush!

Mary Shoff
Mary Shoff

Bernie would beat Trump by a landslide, and the polls are showing Hill losing to Trump! #FeeltheBern

Teresa Ash Willis
Teresa Ash Willis

Joey Deacon Sanders is not doing anything illegal else the DNC would be all up in it to get him removed. Joshua Coffman Democratic Socialism works with both Capitalism and social programs ensuring that each segment benefits all citizens. Democratic Socialism works for the betterment of Americans. No excuse in today's age to Not be more informed.

Teresa Ash Willis
Teresa Ash Willis

Even if they gave her the Primaries, she won't win the general.

Teresa Ash Willis
Teresa Ash Willis

Hillary lies is too much and her being a bought wallstreet Oligarchies candidate is enough! We want our Government back and Not puppets to GoldmanSachs, Turner Warner and Koch brothers anymore. I trust Sanders and appreciate his authenticity.

Mary Shoff
Mary Shoff

Joey, Bernie pays his wife $13,000 a YEAR to help run his campaign. That is not a scandal! He rides coach on planes, he walks to work, doesn't have secret service. No scandal Joey, sorry! #FeeltheBern

Chris Sheridan
Chris Sheridan

Really the choice between two evils !!! Dems, you screwed up bad !!! Sit the Nov. election out!!!

Natasha Durand
Natasha Durand

Hitler was a fascist not a communist. Also socialism is about economics not politics. Democratic socialism means that the people who are affected by legislation get a say in what is passed. Not businesses who buy politicians. Please do your homework instead of believing everything you read on the Internet.

Ginny Riker
Ginny Riker

Truth is more powerful than money...

Mona Cole
Mona Cole

I heard that the Trump won a poll? He would only let his friends vote! He Ha!

Dianna Smith
Dianna Smith

Democrats need to stop all campaign's they don't have one viable candidate.

James Evans
James Evans

We can if the people that profited from the war, the companies that we subsidize and the banks we've bailed our start paying that money back along with a weapons embargo on the middle east and a halt on all money to Israel until there is a two state solution and the area is stabilized. If anything the Iran nuclear contract taught us was that the Israeli government cannot be trusted at this time and that a good portion of our congress should be in jail for treason and violation of article two section three of the constitution

Mary Ann Lesko
Mary Ann Lesko

Sorry but I hit a key by mistake. I was just Going to say Go Bernie Go.