Why Early Voting in Georgia May Prove Public Opinion Polls Wrong

image
Published: 04 Nov, 2014
Updated: 15 Oct, 2022
2 min read

The latest public opinion polls out of Georgia show that Governor Nathan Deal has opened up a bit of lead on his opponent, Democrat Jason Carter -- by as much as 6 points, according to a WSB-TV/Landmark poll. The same poll shows Republican David Perdue leading by 4 points over Democrat Michelle Nunn in the U.S. Senate race.

While this poll seems to indicate that Republicans have an advantage going into Election Day, early voting numbers may tell a different story. These races are still going to be very close.

Several reports indicate that voter turnout nationwide may be down from a typical midterm election year because of a lack of competitive races and general dissatisfaction with the government and the political process. However, in Georgia, voter turnout may actually be higher than expected because of these major statewide races.

According to the Atlantic Journal-Constitution, early voting in Georgia is up 20 percent from what it was in 2010 -- the last midterm election. There were a total of 939,136 ballots cast during the early voting period, which ended on Friday. Approximately 90 percent of the ballots were cast in person.

What this means for which candidates actually have the advantage going into Election Day is not entirely clear. However, on Monday, the Atlanta Daily World reported that 31.2 percent of early votes cast were from African-American voters, a voting demographic that tends to support Democratic candidate. This is a higher percentage of the total early vote than in 2012, when blacks cast 29.2 percent of all early ballots.

A total of 36.9 percent of votes cast were from non-white voters and nearly 55 percent of early voters were female.

With this boost in voter enthusiasm, there is no clear prediction that can be made with statewide races in Georgia, but they are going to be extremely competitive. Republicans may not be as safe as people think in Georgia, which would prove the latest public opinion polls wrong.

Latest articles

Marijuana plant.
Why the War on Cannabis Refuses to Die: How Boomers and the Yippies Made Weed Political
For much of the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, American physicians freely prescribed cannabis to treat a wide range of ailments. But by the mid-twentieth century, federal officials were laying the groundwork for a sweeping criminal crackdown. Cannabis would ultimately be classified as a Schedule I substance, placed alongside heroin and LSD, and transformed into a political weapon that shaped American policy for the next six decades....
30 Jun, 2025
-
2 min read
Donald Trump standing behind presidential podium and in front of two American flags.
Has Trump Made His Case for the Nobel Peace Prize?
A news item in recent days that was overshadowed in the media by SCOTUS and the One Big Beautiful Budget Bill was a US-brokered peace agreement that was signed between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) – which if it holds will end a conflict between the two countries that has killed thousands and displaced hundreds of thousands of people....
30 Jun, 2025
-
7 min read
Picture of skyscraper in New York behind a bridge.
Knives Come Out Against Reform at NYC CRC Hearing as Independents Rise
Last week in Staten Island, the NYC Charter Revision Commission held its next-to-last public hearing. As Commissioner Diane Savino commented, addressing NYC's closed primary system “is the single biggest issue we’ve heard this year.”...
30 Jun, 2025
-
3 min read