Ben Bernanke Outlines Fed Policy for 2013

image
Created: 14 Dec, 2012
Updated: 21 Nov, 2022
3 min read

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke held a press conference Wednesday to outline the FED's overarching fiscal approach moving into 2013. When compared to current policy, the announcement suggests little diversion from the monetary policies of 2012. The FED is set to increase its implementation of the 'Quantitative Easing 3' bond-buying program. A total of $85 billion a month in Treasury purchases and mortgage-backed securities are expected next year.

The continued stimulus will keep interest rates extremely low until unemployment falls below 6.5 percent, expected to occur in 2015. The 6.5 percent benchmark marks the first unemployment target set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).

Chairman Bernanke said:

"In particular, the Committee expects that the stated threshold for unemployment will not be reached before mid-2015 and projects that inflation will remain close to 2 percent over that period. Thus, given the Committee’s current outlook, the guidance introduced today is consistent with the Committee’s earlier statements that exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate are likely to be warranted at least through mid-2015."

The acceptable inflation target was raised to 2.5 percent, up from the existing 2 percent. Raising this rate has concerned some inflation hawks like Richmond FED chairman and committee member, Jeffrey Lacker.  As the only dissenting voice in an 11-1 vote, Lacker has warned that rampant inflation could result from continued asset purchases.

In a response to October’s QE 3 announcement Lacker stated:

“I opposed continuing additional asset purchases. Further monetary stimulus now is unlikely to result in a discernible improvement in growth, but if it does, it’s also likely to cause an unwanted increase in inflation… further monetary stimulus runs the risk of raising inflation in a way that threatens the stability of inflation expectations.”

Though weariness over inflation is warranted, keeping interest rates lower for longer discourages investors from sitting on their capital. Instead, it incentivizes immediate market investment, which should spur economic growth.

These programs are projected to increase the FED’s balance sheet by almost a third in 2013, which is currently at about $2.8 trillion. Bernanke’s overall assessment was optimistic in light of inflation worries. Positive signs from the housing market have largely contributed to the slow but sure economic recovery since 2010.

“I think we’re seeing modest improvement in mortgage markets. One thing that’s helping is a stronger housing market… As house prices have begun to rise, as the economy has gotten a little stronger, lending standards have eased just a bit.”

Both the Dow Jones and NASDAQ closed in the red Thursday, down 0.56% and 0.72% respectively as the news of further stimulus did little to improve the dollar's strength against other international currencies like the Euro.

However, the economic benchmarks that the FED set -- inflation remaining below 2.5 percent, unemployment reaching below 6.5 percent, and long-term inflation projections remaining manageable -- all serve as critical thermometers whereby Wall Street can more accurately gauge economic trends moving past 2013. This is intended to instil greater confidence in domestic markets.

More Choice for San Diego

Bernanke made it clear that the FED could not completely offset the fiscal cliff and limited means remained available to accommodate impending austerity. It is possible, however, for further adjustments to be made should the 'cliff' arrive without any viable solutions on the table.

 

Latest articles

Several ballot boxes with different colored ballots sticking out.
Open Primaries Bill Passes New Mexico Senate, Moves to House
With a short legislative window to work with, the updates on a bill to open New Mexico's taxpayer-funded primary elections to more than 330,000 independent voters are happening fast -- and so far, it is good news for reformers....
21 Feb, 2025
-
1 min read
100 dollar bills.
15 Years After Citizens United, Seattle Can Show the Way Forward
January 21, 2025, marked the 15th anniversary of the Supreme Court’s Citizens United ruling, a decision that opened the floodgates for unlimited corporate spending in elections. Since that ruling, super PACs and outside spending have skyrocketed, and the voices of everyday voters have been drowned out by wealthy donors and corporate interests. The impact of Citizens United is clear: the political system is increasingly controlled by the rich, while ordinary voters are left behind....
20 Feb, 2025
-
3 min read
Donald Trump at rally.
Poll: There's Strong Support Among Independents for Trump's Bipartisan Potential
The Independent Center released the fourth and final installment to its 2025 State of the Union Poll, highlighting where independent voters, Democrats, and Republicans have the most secure common ground....
19 Feb, 2025
-
2 min read