Romney’s Endorsement of Mourdock Could Deter Independents
By Chiara Baldanza | 10/30/2012 | Elections 2012, Headline | 6 Comments
Photo: Statehousefile.com
In an election where unaffiliated voters will likely decide the outcome, Romney’s endorsement of Mourdock could drive independents away. Despite Mourdock’s recent gaffe divulging his belief that pregnancies resulting from rape are “something that God intended to happen,” Romney has stood by the Indiana candidate.
A Romney campaign spokesperson released a statement last week regarding Richard Mourdock’s comment, stating, “We disagree on the policy regarding exceptions for rape and incest but still support him.” Romney has decided not to pull a television ad expressing his endorsement of Mourdock, but Mourdock’s ratings are falling in the polls even with the candidate’s support.
Mourdock’s statement has hurt his campaign in Indiana, where he had enjoyed a consistent lead in the polls. In an October poll, the Global Strategy Group reported a two point lead for his opponent, Democrat Joe Donnelly. The results are even more polarized among political independents, the majority of whom strongly favor Donnelly over Mourdock in light of Mourdock’s recent comments.
When asked if Richard Mourdock’s stance on abortion would affect decisions at the polls, Indiana resident and Libertarian Smiley Courtney responded:
“To claim that the rape of a woman is ‘God’s will’ is inane, insulting, and just plain wrong, like saying the world economy has faltered due to ‘God’s will.’ I had planned to vote for Mourdock. I have campaigned for Mourdock, primarily because I was against the liberalism of Donnelly’s congressional record. But running a country is about solving tough problems. Doing that from a fundamentalist’s agenda results in such historical examples as the Taliban.”
Although improving the economy continues to be the primary concern among US voters, abortion remains a hot button issue, especially in key states. An October Gallup poll found that 17 percent of individuals surveyed will only vote for a candidate if they share their views on abortion. An additional 45 percent of those surveyed indicated abortion as one of several important factors in deciding on a candidate. Gallup also found that the majority of women in swing states view abortion as the most important issue in the 2012 election.
It is still too early to tell if Romney’s endorsement of Mourock will have any affect on current voter trends, and with elections just a week away, it is likely that the potential repercussions of his choice will not be evident until the votes are in on November 6. It is possible that Mitt Romney’s continued support for Mourdock may appeal to religious voters, who are statistically more likely to vote than unaffiliated individuals. However, a recent Washington Post/ABC News poll reported that just 39 percent of respondents trust Mitt Romney to do a better job when it comes to women’s issues. Romney’s refusal to disavow Mourdock could very well disrupt his recent gain with female voters.
A comprehensive look at the latest polls reveal the presidential race is neck-and-neck, and many analysts predict a tie. With fifteen percent of voters still undecided, any action – or failure to act – could be the deciding factor in who will win this race.





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6 Comments
Michael Higham
10.30.2012
@michaelhigham
Emotionally charged issues play a big role in voters’ perception of candidates even if the candidate can be objectively on issues effective. Endorsements can build a perceived connection between stances on issues.
Cassidy Noblejas Bartolomei
10.30.2012
@cassidynb
Media is overly focused on rape as part of the legality of abortion discussion. Here is a theory on one of the consequences of abortion that is rarely discussed: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zk6gOeggViw Not necessarily an argument to legalize abortion, but an interesting facet of the issue.
W. E. Messamore
10.30.2012
@W__E__Messamore
I tend to think that the air conditioning theory (http://reason.com/archives/2011/06/20/the-crime-rate-puzzle) is an exemplar of the kind of socio-economic forces and advances– quietly shifting without much fanfare– that are mostly responsible for the dropping crime rates. As our standards of living improve, there are all kinds of positive externalities.
Alex Gauthier
10.30.2012
@alexg
what is it with republicans and rape this election? and why are women still flocking to them?
W. E. Messamore
10.30.2012
@W__E__Messamore
I have absolutely no clue what Republicans are thinking this election with so much emphasis on social issues after they did so well in 2010 by focusing on economic issues. As for your second question. Women aren’t. For most of this month, Gallup has had Romney leading Obama among men by 10% but trailing the president among women by 9%. The gap among women has been wider at other times during this campaign. I can’t help but think it has something to do with the “War on Women” narrative that Democrats are pushing this election …and the Republicans’ fascinating, self-defeating proclivity this election to make sure that narrative rings very true in voters’ minds.
Jane Susskind
10.30.2012
@jsusskind
Yeah, I’ve got to agree with Wes. Women are seeing through the GOP. It’s not just their stance on abortion etc. but the way in which they talk about it. the language used to describe women’s issues is turning women voters away.