‘ObamaCare’ Ruling Potential Electoral Boost for Republicans
By W. E. Messamore | 06/28/2012 | Congressional, Elections 2012, Legislation, President, State Office, US Senate | 15 Comments
The scene outside the Supreme Court buidling in Washington, D.C. today. Source: Wikipedia / user, NYyankees51
The Supreme Court decision, announced early Thursday, upholding most of the controversial and politically-charged Affordable Care Act including the individual health insurance mandate, might actually be good news for the Republican Party going into the November 2012 elections, and they’ve wasted no time in using the decision to rally a conservative base whose support for the GOP’s presumptive nominee, Mitt Romney, has ranged from tepid to hostile.
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Commonly called “Obamacare” by its critics in the Republican Party, the Affordable Care Act is widely regarded as the signature legislative accomplishment of the Obama Administration and the fight to enact it lasted for several grueling months, throwing fuel on the fire of the Tea Party protest movement that already began sweeping through the country in early 2009.
After passage of the Democrats’ health care reform, the Tea Party grew even more vocal and active in electoral politics, sweeping the Republican Party to victory in the US House and state elections across the country during the 2010 midterms. By 2012, the enthusiasm had wavered and the Tea Party’s independent, fiscally conservative influence in the Republican Party had clearly waned. Most of its freshmen congressmen turned out to be less independent than their more senior Republican colleagues in the House and the Tea Party’s one-after-another, flavor-of-the-month 2012 presidential candidates turned out to be too amateur and lackluster to keep the establishment candidate, Mitt Romney, from closing in on the GOP’s nomination.
This week, before the Supreme Court upheld the health care reform’s individual mandate, the part of the bill conservatives consider a violation of individual liberty and a step outside of Congress’ enumerated powers, Democratic strategist James Carville sent out an email claiming: “The Tea Party is Over.” Not anymore. The Tea Party, which drew so much of its energy from outrage at the Obama Administration, might just make a comeback in time for the November election and help the Republican Party score electoral victories that it otherwise would not have.
What would make this the ultimate bad news for Democrats is if the Republican Party can ride the wave of conservative outrage and disappointment to electoral victory in November, and then repeal The Affordable Care Act anyways. They could have their cake and eat it too, and they’re clearly already on the warpath for this outcome. Presumptive GOP nominee, Mitt Romney, reacted to the Supreme Court’s decision by saying: “if we want to get rid of Obamacare, we’re going to have to replace President Obama.” If he’s lucky, and he might be, conservative voters will conveniently ignore that the act of Congress they detest so strongly was modeled after Mitt Romney’s own signature legislative accomplishment as Governor of Massachusetts.
Meanwhile, House Republicans have already scheduled another vote to repeal the Affordable Care Act early next month after the July 4th recess. In a press release, House Speaker John Boehner reiterated the urgency of repealing the bill. Various Republican governors are vowing to ignore the Supreme Court’s ruling. More telling, “the Republican Governors Association said that nothing should be done by the states until after the election, a clear signal that they believe a GOP president, House and Senate will kill the health care reform pushed through by Democrats and opposed by Republicans.”
Meanwhile, stocks kept diving after the Supreme Court’s decision today and a flurry of ill-advised celebratory tweets by Democrats, like the Executive Director of the DNC’s tweet this morning that said, “its constitutional. Bitches,” is making Democrats appear petty, partisan, and more interested in winning a political battle than helping Americans. You can be sure that pundits across the aisle will exaggerate and spin this for their own political gain.
With the economy in such bad shape, the Democrats need every bit of moral ascendancy they can muster, but this morning Republicans came off as morally outraged, principled, energized, and concerned about what the Affordable Care Act will do to small businesses and the economy. Democrats, even if they were to humbly and graciously acknowledge the Supreme Court’s decision, can’t help but appear to be running a victory lap. In an ironic way, losing this battle in the nation’s courts may be a great boon for the GOP.
Whether it’ll be a good thing for Americans, whether Republicans use this as an opportunity to advance alternative and substantive solutions, remains to be seen. Though if history’s any indication, they probably won’t.




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15 Comments
Eric Olsen
06.28.2012
Great article, Wes! Exactly what I was wondering about after this morning’s events. Thanks for thinking it through for me! :)
Craig D. Schlesinger
06.28.2012
@craigschlesinger
I think both parties will try and exploit what happened today for partisan electoral gain… lots of lip service, minimal action. Go Duopoly!
Dan Richards
06.28.2012
@danrich
I do not agree that Romney is a good Candidate, we need one actually. But if we want to increase jobs, and get a better rebuild of the economy, then Nancy Pelosi’s “Obamacare” has to go, and her little puppet too. This election Obama has to be voted out if we want to get any thing done, and I do not believe for one moment Romney is the one that can do it, but if he gets in, maybe we can at least slow the damage Obama via Pelosi has done.
Brad R. Schlesinger
06.29.2012
@bradschlesinger
Just listen to Romney talk for five minutes. We are on a path to fiscal catastrophe and Romney wants to preserve medicare and medicaid and increase spending on defense. On the contrary, that would do the opposite of slowing the damage, it will only exacerbate the problem, not fix it. We can only rebuild the economy by having real free markets, not crony capitalism. Romney is no different than Obama and Bush, not to mention that Obamacare is the progeny of Romneycare.
Cathy Giancola
06.29.2012
Yes….big time. Anyone want to know where their closest TP is? :))
Imojean Collett Valentine
06.29.2012
yes please.
Hayde Johnoff
06.29.2012
Wait until rep bugs get into their ssi /Medicare see how happy they will be
Douglas Neslund
06.29.2012
You haven’t seen anything yet!
Steven Allenmay
06.29.2012
the tea is stale
Kathy Jones
06.29.2012
Don’t know, and don’t care. just know its very sad on our choices. And the direction we are headed.
Lance Willis
06.30.2012
The silent majority is about to be heard again……
Chris Junkin
06.30.2012
Republican democrat tea party= one party. It’s the sheep that are continuously fooled
Stacy Alexander Dill
06.30.2012
FiRED UP!
Jimmy Rose
06.30.2012
Well FIXED NEWS keeps trying to pump up the propaganda machine for mittens he is drawing a crowd of security.
Jesica
07.04.2012
Ed Butowsky has had a great insight about ObamaCare. You should watch this video to find out – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXips4SIgNw