Gary Johnson’s Popularity Grows, Can He Make a Difference In 2012?
By Ryan McLain | 05/29/2012 | Elections 2012, President | 19 CommentsLibertarian presidential candidate and former Governor of New Mexico Gary Johnson’s popularity despite his third party affiliation and lack of national press continues to grow. A new poll of 500 voters in Arizona by Public Policy Polling from May 17th-20th has shown that Johnson is currently at 9% voter support, a record high for himself and just 6% short of the 15% needed to enter the national television debates. In recent months prior to this poll, Johnson was consistently remaining between 6-7% popularity.
If you haven’t heard of Governor Johnson, it isn’t a surprise. Johnson was formerly running for the Republican nomination but withdrew his bid on November 29th after being excluded from three of the debates during the summer and continually being unsuccessful in his attempts to increase his popularity.
On December 28th, he announced that he would run for the Libertarian Nomination. Johnson officially won the nomination on May 5th and selected former California State Supreme Court Justice Jim Gray as his vice-presidential running mate.
Of the voters who were surveyed, a mere 20% claimed to know enough about Johnson to have either a favorable or an unfavorable opinion about him. However, if Ron Paul officially loses at the Republic National Convention and leaves the election picture, his basis of Libertarian minded supports would flock to Johnson in a big way and would likely continue to increase the public’s knowledge about himself. This would naturally cause an increase in popularity for the former governor.
Another big reason Johnson could make a real difference this coming November is his popularity with independent voters that continues to grow. A recent survey in Wisconsin by ORC International shows that of his supporters in Wisconsin, a whopping 73% are Independents. A large reason for this is displeasure with both parties’ representation of the moderate voter. Johnson’s major plans for reform such as a constitutional amendment to always have a balanced federal budget (65% in favor), ending the War in Afghanistan (63% oppose), and desire for same-sex marriage equality (53% in favor) are all majority opinions in the country. If Johnson can continue to spread his name, gather endorsements, and get voters to know his policies, he very easily could hit that mainstream benchmark of 15% and shake up the presidential election in a way that no one has since Ross Perot in 1992.






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19 Comments
politicsboring
05.29.2012
@politicsboring
The best candidate
matthewreece
05.29.2012
@matthewreece
I can see Gary Johnson doing better than 15%. It is not outside the realm of possibility for him to come in second place.
Libertine
05.29.2012
I’ll be voting for Gary Johnson.
tpolicy_com
05.29.2012
@tpolicy_com
Gary Johnson 2012!
caseypeterson
05.29.2012
@caseypeterson
Sorry but Ron Paul supporters have already made up thier mind to use the “Write-in” if Ron Paul doesn’t win the nomination. I will hand write his name in with a sharpie if I have to. Now if R.P. decides to drop out of Republican running and go Libertarian with G.J. then I will be voting for them as a team… but don’t assume that you will just be getting R.P. votes if he doesn’t run Libertarian. BTW I like G.J. just fine… he just hasn’t paid the dues Ron Paul has… not yet.
LexGreen
05.30.2012
Unless you officially pre-qualify as a candidate in every county, write-in votes will disqualify your ballot. Since Ron Paul and his supporters are making no such effort, you won’t even be an effective protest vote. In Illinois, RP supporters should come on over to the LP and vote Gary Johnson / Jim Gray. It is their only option.
Joe M
05.30.2012
Johnson hasn’t paid the dues? He’s a former two-term governor, and he won as a Republican in a Democratic majority state. He took unpopular positions and made them work. He vetoed more bills than all other governors combined in his time as governor. The guy is legit. I love Ron Paul, but why for real and true write-in a name that won’t even be counted when Johnson is going to be on the ballot in all fifty states? All the discontented voters need to concentrate their votes towards one candidate, instead of letting them be scattered and dispersed and more easily ignored.
Shorter version: Gary Johnson 2012!
Ryan McLain
05.30.2012
@vote3rdparty
Joe, I’m playing devil’s advocate here. Is vetoing more than all of the prior governors combined necessarily a good thing? Couldn’t that be taken as a lack of compromising ability?
hardymacia
05.31.2012
@hardymacia
*it was all current governors in the other 50 states. Yes, it’s a good thing. It shows strong leadership. What was the effect… 748 of the 750 vetoes were upheld meaning Johnson won over enough people to sustain his veto. How did this happen? FIrst of all he had to read the bills, then he explained why the bills were a bad for the people of New Mexico.
I want a president who will veto NDAA, SOPA, Patriot Act,.. the budget when it is 1.4 trillion dollars higher than revenues…
Ryan McLain
05.31.2012
@vote3rdparty
My apologies about my mistake on the governors comment, I had quickly read it.
Ryan McLain
05.30.2012
@vote3rdparty
You’re wasting your vote. I never use that phrase when discussing voting because someone should be voted for no matter what their odds for winning are if you think they could do the best job. However, in this case, they will just throw out your ballot.
hardymacia
05.31.2012
@hardymacia
Casey, the Obama and Romney want you to write-in Paul because they know your vote won’t count in most states that way. What they don’t want you to do is get behind Gov Gary Johnson (who endorsed Ron Paul in 2008 and 2012). Gary Johnson is the most qualified candidate in the race with the same sort of track record and integrity that Dr Paul has. It would be shameful if the liberty movement fell for the establishment’s hope that we’ll just write-in Paul and drop out of the November race… We need to get fully behind Governor Johnson and show the old parties that Liberty is here and we aren’t going away.
r
06.07.2012
You speak ONLY for yourself. I voted for Dr. Paul in ’88 and in ’08. This time I will vote for Johnson. There are at least 3 reasons for people to consider the Libertarian option. First, and most importantly, Johnson is a FAR better candidate than either Obama or Romney. Second, votes for 3rd Party candidates helps support their ballot status in many states. Third, the more votes the LP gets the more sway their ideas will have.
Terry Sandars
09.03.2012
I am a huge supporter of Ron Paul. But I am going to make my vote count for something so I will vote Gary Johnson. No one has worked harder that I have for Ron Paul, even going so far as to be elected as an Alternate Delegate to the RNC. But I am going to make the Republican Party pay for that rule change. Don’t throw away your vote, give it to Gary Johnson. Lets show the Republican Party that they are going to deal with us one way or another. This is a movement it is not about one person.
RNP
05.29.2012
In a nutshell:
► Gary Johnson IS the Best Qualified Candidate:
1. Gary Johnson has a great public and professional record with no personal life scandals.
2. Gary Johnson was a successful and popular Republican two-term Governor of a Democratic state.
3. Gary Johnson is not a bomb-thrower, sleezeball or flip-flopper. He is consistent, principled person and a pragmatic, successful and proven electable leader.
4. Gary Johnson is entrepreneur and successful business person and all-around accomplished person.
Conclusion: If people want a real option of not voting for ‘their enemy’s enemy’ or the ‘least offensive’ of the two major party candidates, then this is a great opportunity.
Gary Johnson is the real deal. Period.
P.S. Visit: http://www.garyjohnson2012.com
georgewhitfield
05.29.2012
@georgewhitfield
Gary Johnson is now our best choice to restore peace, prosperity and liberty to America.
sallymcdermitt
05.31.2012
@sallymcdermitt
Gov Gary Johnson has proven himself a worthy candidate for the highest office in the land. He has successfully governed the State of New Mexico leaving office with the state in a surplus – that doesnt happen very often… This country needs someone who can make the cuts necessary to put this country’s economy back on track and one who can brings some honesty back into the political arena. I’m voting for Gov. Johnson for President in 2012!
Phil E. Drifter
07.08.2012
Have not read your extensive (that’s good) article yet.
Get a haircut.
Phil E. Drifter
07.08.2012
2-4 minutes? Try 30 seconds.