Soaring Diesel Prices Highlight Likely Commodity Bubble

image
Author: Chris Hinyub
Published: 14 Mar, 2012
Updated: 13 Oct, 2022
2 min read

With diesel and gas prices climbing steeply, farmers have warned that food prices will inflate as a consequence. But more than just hike prices at the grocery store, rising production costs could burst what some economists speculate to be the newest market bubble.

The cost of diesel is directly tied to every facet of commodity farming and distribution. Drastic fuel and fertilizer price increases over the last several weeks have helped push up grain, meat and farmland prices to new, record highs.

Commodity prices, however, have been on the rise for over a decade.

The following United States Department of Agriculture statistics offer a sobering perspective on the unsustainable trend commodity prices have shown over the last 14 years:

  • As of last month, the price that the average American farmer has received for a bushel of corn has nearly tripled over the average price sustained from 1998 through 2005. Soybeans and winter wheat have more than doubled in price over the same time.
  • Naturally, as grain prices rise, so do the price of livestock, which rely on subsidized grain crops for feed. The average price of beef cattle as of last month, when compared to 1998 through 2005 prices, has almost doubled.
  • Since 2002, the cost of seeds, fertilizer and fuel for farm equipment have all more than doubled.

Meanwhile, according to major farm land realtors, the cost of prime farmland has tripled in value since 2009 in some parts of the country.

These factors have led to a net farm income decrease for the average American farmer, according to USDA statistics. Even though gross farm income increased from $295 billion in 2004 to $366 billion in 2010, production cost increases made it so that net farm income in 2010 was actually $8.4 billion less than in 2004.

Total U.S. gross farm income hasn't kept up with the increase in grain and cattle prices, because price increases on eggs, milk and fruits have been more modest, Kentucky Agriculture Commissioner James Comer pointed out last week in a keynote speech for an agriculture appreciation event.

So, is the writing on the wall? Is the U.S. experiencing a hazardous agriculture bubble?

IVP Donate

Latest articles

An electric sign of the American flag.
ABC's Sara Haines Calls Out 'Narrow View' that Independent Voters Can't Exist in Trump Era
American journalist and co-host of ABC’s The View, Sara Haines, refutes the notion that people can't be independent-minded in their election choices in an era in which the Republican Party is controlled by Trump – a perspective voiced by her colleague, Sunny Houstin that Haines describes as “narrow.”...
06 Jun, 2025
-
3 min read
US map divided in blue and red with a white ballot box on top.
Could Maine Be the First State to Exit the National Popular Vote Compact?
On May 20, the Maine House of Representatives voted 76–71 to withdraw the state from the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC), reversing course just over a year after Maine became the 17th jurisdiction to join the agreement....
04 Jun, 2025
-
3 min read
New York City
Nine Democrats Face Off in NYC Mayoral Debate as Ranked Choice Voting, Cuomo Probe, and Independent Bid from Adams Reshape the Race
A crowded field of nine Democratic candidates will take the stage tonight, June 4, in the first official debate of the 2025 New York City mayoral primary. Held at NBC’s 30 Rock studios and co-sponsored by the city’s Campaign Finance Board, NBC 4 New York, Telemundo 47, and POLITICO New York, the debate comes at a pivotal moment in a race already shaped by political upheaval, criminal investigations, and the unique dynamics of ranked choice voting....
04 Jun, 2025
-
6 min read